Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 011614
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1113 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...PRECIPITATION...
PRECIPITATION FELL FROM THE MINNESOTA ARROWHEAD...ACROSS THE UPPER
PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN AND INTO LOWER MICHIGAN.  WATER EQUIVALENTS
WERE A FEW HUNDREDTHS TO AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH. RAIN ALSO FELL
IN THE UPPER SOURIS BASIN WHERE A FEW HUNDREDTHS WERE RECORDED.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG A COLD
FRONT THIS AFTERNOON FROM NEBRASKA...ACROSS NORTHWESTERN IOWA AND
INTO SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...NORTHERN WISCONSIN AND THE UPPER
PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN. THEY WILL INTENSIFY THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT AS THEY TRACK SOUTHEAST. BY FRIDAY EVENING THEY WILL
HAVE CLEARED THE NCRFC REGION.

RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE GREATEST ACROSS
IOWA WHERE BETWEEN AN INCH AND TWO INCHES IS FORECAST...MAINLY
ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN HALF OF THE STATE. A TENTH TO THIRD OF AN
INCH COULD FALL TO THE NORTH AND EAST INTO SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...
WISCONSIN AND THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN.

THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY THE BAND OF HEAVIEST RAIN WILL HAVE MOVED
SOUTH TO MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS. BETWEEN AN INCH AND TWO INCHES IS
FORECAST THERE. LIGHTER AMOUNTS...A TENTH TO AROUND A HALF INCH IS
EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHERN WISCONSIN AND
MICHIGAN.

...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...
BANKFULL RISES AND SOME MINOR FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
IOWA...MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...AND INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOWER MICHIGAN
AS THE SYSTEM ON TAP MOVES ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...ALTHOUGH
ISOLATED MODERATE FLOOD LEVELS MAY BE OBSERVED IN THE FAR SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE NCRFC AREA IF PRECIPITATION TOTALS OR RAINFALL
RATES ARE HIGHER THAN EXPECTED.

FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC

EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST: JDT ... LLD ... RJW

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.


$$

...RJW/LLD...





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