Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KEAX 252000
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
300 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 259 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

Precipitation should quickly diminish this evening as the upper wave
opens up and then more rapidly shifts east. The loss of diurnal
heating will also aid in the demise of left over shower activity.
Colder air will filter into the area over the next few days which
will result in some chilly mornings to start the new week. Cloud
cover will inhibit better cooling tonight, which will also limit fog
potential. However, clear skies are expected by Monday morning with
temperatures falling into the mid to upper 30s. If winds are lighter
than expected, there may be potential for frost Monday morning due to
better radiational cooling and less mixing.

An upper low will spin through southern Kansas and Oklahoma. This
will bring needed rainfall to those areas but will likely leave our
forecast area dry. So for now have kept PoPs out of our southern
zones. A little shift in the upper low track could bring some
precipitation into the Linn, KS to Bates, MO areas but even this,
being on the northern edges of the low, wouldn`t amount to much. Thus
the only influence this low should have on our weather is increased
cloud cover, mainly over the southern forecast area.

By the middle to later part of the week, ridging over the western
CONUS will begin to spread east into the center of the country.
Increasing heights and thicknesses will help push temperatures back
into the upper 70s. This will also keep the forecast dry through the
extended.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 244 CDT SAT APR 25 2015

MVFR to IFR ceilings are expected through much of the forecast
period. MVFR ceilings this afternoon will very likely drop to IFR
tonight as cold advection settles in. Guidance suggest skies will
become VFR late in the valid period so have trended to IFR overnight
and then back to VFR late Sunday morning. Winds will veer to the
north and eventually to the northeast tonight. Winds may be
sustained around 12 kts this afternoon and this evening but should
diminish overnight and tomorrow.


&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CDB
AVIATION...CDB






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.