Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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FNUS73 KLSX 211350
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MARK TWAIN LAKE...U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
850 AM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS TO PERSIST WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROPPING BELOW 30 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 57.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WIND 2 TO 3
                    MPH. GUSTS UP TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON. ADJUSTMENT FACTOR 0.3 USED.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WIND 6 TO 11
                    MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AT IGNITION...6600 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD (17565 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BYRD
REQUESTED BY...ALLEN MEHRER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150422.MARKT.01/LSX





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