Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 300743
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
243 AM CDT Mon Mar 30 2015

...Sunny...Warmer...and Spring-like Today...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 225 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2015

A surface high is currently over southeastern Kansas this morning
and moving to the southeast. Skies were clear and temperatures
were seasonably cool this morning in the upper 30s and lower 40s.
A light southerly breeze will return today under sunny skies which
will help boost temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s. A
gorgeous day is in the forecast today followed by a pleasant night.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 225 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2015

Upper level ridging and height rises mean warmer temperatures for
Tuesday and Wednesday. A weak wind shift boundary may move through
on Tuesday with a few more clouds around but no precip is expected
or remain to our south. Temperatures will be in the middle to
upper 70s on Tuesday and maybe reaching near 80 by Wednesday.

The models are in good agreement with the next storm system
and have slowed it down somewhat beginning to affect the area very
late Wednesday night into Thursday. It appears the front may slow
down or briefly stall on Thursday and Thursday night across the
area as a wave of low pressure develops along it. There will be
a good chance of thunderstorms and some could be on the strong
side. SPC has most of the area highlighted in a slight risk for
severe weather on Thursday. Will keep an eye on
trends...atmospheric ingredients...and timing for some severe weather
around the Thursday time frame.

We could see a couple rounds of thunderstorms Thursday into early
Friday before this system finally kicks out of the area late
Friday. Cooler and drier weather return behind the front for next
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday Night)
Issued at 1125 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

Mid level clouds pushed southeast of the area this evening as the
upper level trough axis has shifted into the region. Winds have
generally become light and should remain so overnight. A southeast
to south wind will develop Monday morning as surface ridge shifts
to our southeast and will continue through the day with VFR SKC
conditions expected.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Lindenberg





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