Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 022012
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
312 PM CDT Sat May 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Sunday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2015

While radar shows a few light echoes along the MO/KS border this
afternoon, surface observations and area webcams indicate that
precipitation is not reaching the ground in this area. Further to
the north over northern MO/southern IA, better upper level support
ahead of a weak shortwave and higher dewpoints are keeping those
storms going.

Quiet weather is expected to continue through tonight and Sunday
as a large area of high pressure over TN/KY and a relatively dry
airmass dominate the region. Lowest dewpoints over our eastern
counties and light winds should allow temperatures to fall into
the 40s over the Ozark Scenic Riverways. Temperatures elsewhere
should fall only into the 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2015

A surface front currently over the upper Midwest will shift
further south into northern Missouri on Monday before retreating
back to the north as a warm front on Tuesday. This will keep
south winds from the northern Gulf of Mexico streaming northward
across the central U.S. as high pressure builds over the southeast
U.S. and a lee side trough deepens over eastern CO/western KS.
We may see a few storms develop over our extreme northwest
counties late Sunday and early Monday where better low level
moisture will be available and better lift potential will occur closer
to the front. Otherwise, we expect most areas to remain dry
through early next week.

An upper level low pressure system currently off the west coast
will deepen over the southwest U.S. and send shortwave energy
northeastward across the southern Plains into the Ozarks from mid-
late week. As low level moisture increases ahead of this system,
we should see several rounds of showers and thunderstorms from
Wednesday through Saturday.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 1147 AM CDT SAT MAY 2 2015

VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours. South to
southeast winds will increase heading into tonight at SGF, where
local terrain effects will enhance speeds. Winds will then become
southwesterly and increase at all locations Sunday morning.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Terry
LONG TERM...Terry
AVIATION...Boxell







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