River Forecast
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FGUS54 KFWR 180159
RVFSHV
RIVER FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH, TEXAS
0859 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015
:
:

:     NECH
:
:*************************************************************************
:Location :Neches - Neches River
:
:LATEST STAGE    14.74 FT AT 2030 CDT ON 0417
.ER NCST2    0418 C DC201504172052/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST      7AM        NOON         7PM        MDNT

.E1 :0417:             ::          ::          :: /      14.7
.E2 :0418:    /      14.6 /      14.5 /      14.5 /      14.5
.E3 :0419:    /      14.5 /      14.6 /      14.6 /      14.6
.E4 :0420:    /      14.7 /      14.7 /      14.7 /      14.7
.E5 :0421:    /      14.7 /      14.7 /      14.7 /      14.7
.E6 :0422:    /      14.7 /      14.7 /      14.7
:
.ER NCST2    0418 C DC201504172052/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6/ 0.12/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00
: NCST2 (AS 11.50 FS 12.00)

:
: COMMENT- FLAT CREST OVER 15 FT LATER THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
: NOTE - FUTURE RAINFALL BEYOND 12 HOURS WILL LIKELY
: PRODUCE RUNOFF AND HIGHER CREST

:*************************************************************************
:Location :Alto - Neches River
:
:LATEST STAGE    16.80 FT AT 0700 CDT ON 0417
.AR : CREST : ATOT2 0422 C DC201504172052/DH07/HGIFFX     16.8
.ER ATOT2    0418 C DC201504172052/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST      7AM        NOON         7PM        MDNT

.E1 :0417:             ::          ::          :: /      16.7
.E2 :0418:    /      16.8 /      16.8 /      16.8 /      16.8
.E3 :0419:    /      16.8 /      16.8 /      16.8 /      16.8
.E4 :0420:    /      16.8 /      16.8 /      16.8 /      16.8
.E5 :0421:    /      16.8 /      16.8 /      16.8 /      16.8
.E6 :0422:    /      16.8 /      16.8 /      16.8
:
.ER ATOT2    0418 C DC201504172052/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6/ 0.19/ 0.11/ 0.00/ 0.00
: ATOT2 (AS 15.50 FS 16.00)

:
: COMMENT- SLOW STEADY RISE FROM BOTH LOCAL RAINFALL AND ROUTED RAINFALL
: THROUGH THE BASIN, ONLY ONE READING A DAY BUT TRENDING CLOSE
: TO MODEL OUTPUT, SHOULD STAY IN MINOR FLOOD FOR PERIOD

:*************************************************************************
:Location :Diboll - Neches River
:
:LATEST STAGE    10.92 FT AT 2015 CDT ON 0417
.AR : CREST : DIBT2 0420 C DC201504172053/DH19/HGIFFX     12.6
.ER DIBT2    0418 C DC201504172053/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST      7AM        NOON         7PM        MDNT

.E1 :0417:             ::          ::          :: /      11.1
.E2 :0418:    /      11.3 /      11.7 /      12.0 /      12.2
.E3 :0419:    /      12.2 /      12.3 /      12.4 /      12.5
.E4 :0420:    /      12.5 /      12.6 /      12.6 /      12.6
.E5 :0421:    /      12.6 /      12.6 /      12.6 /      12.6
.E6 :0422:    /      12.6 /      12.6 /      12.6
:
.ER DIBT2    0418 C DC201504172053/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6/ 0.26/ 0.20/ 0.00/ 0.00
: DIBT2 (AS 11.50 FS 12.00)

:
: COMMENT- MAJORITY LOCAL FLOW, BUT THE STEADY INCREASE AT ATOT2 WILL AID
: IN PUSHING DIBT2 INTO FLOOD STAGE

:*************************************************************************
:Location :Jacksonville - Mud Creek
:
:LATEST STAGE     8.37 FT AT 2000 CDT ON 0417
.ER JKST2    0418 C DC201504172053/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST      7AM        NOON         7PM        MDNT

.E1 :0417:             ::          ::          :: /       8.3
.E2 :0418:    /       8.3 /       8.2 /       8.2 /       8.1
.E3 :0419:    /       8.1 /       8.0 /       7.9 /       7.8
.E4 :0420:    /       7.7 /       7.5 /       7.3 /       7.1
.E5 :0421:    /       6.9 /       6.7 /       6.5 /       6.3
.E6 :0422:    /       6.1 /       6.0 /       5.8
:
.ER JKST2    0418 C DC201504172053/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00
: JKST2 (AS  8.50 FS  9.00)

:
: COMMENT- RIVER IS BELOW CRITERIA NOW AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL (LAST FORECAST)

:*************************************************************************
:Location :Cushing - East Fork Angelina River
:
:LATEST STAGE     9.50 FT AT 1300 CDT ON 0417
.AR : CREST : CUST2 0418 C DC201504172053/DH07/HGIFFX     10.0
.ER CUST2    0418 C DC201504172053/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST      7AM        NOON         7PM        MDNT

.E1 :0417:             ::          ::          :: /       9.9
.E2 :0418:    /      10.0 /       9.9 /       9.8 /       9.7
.E3 :0419:    /       9.5 /       9.3 /       9.1 /       8.8
.E4 :0420:    /       8.5 /       8.2 /       8.0 /       7.7
.E5 :0421:    /       7.4 /       7.2 /       7.0 /       6.8
.E6 :0422:    /       6.7 /       6.5 /       6.4
:
.ER CUST2    0418 C DC201504172053/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6/ 0.07/ 0.11/ 0.00/ 0.00
: CUST2 (AS 10.00 FS 10.00)

:
: COMMENT- 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL MAY PUSH INTO FLOOD CATEGORY, BUT WITH
: ONLY ONE READING A DAY ITS DIFFICULT FOR MODEL TO BE ACCURATE

:*************************************************************************
:Location :Lufkin - Angelina River
:
:LATEST STAGE     9.00 FT AT 0700 CDT ON 0417
.AR : CREST : LUFT2 0421 C DC201504172054/DH19/HGIFFX     10.9
.ER LUFT2    0418 C DC201504172054/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST      7AM        NOON         7PM        MDNT

.E1 :0417:             ::          ::          :: /       9.4
.E2 :0418:    /       9.5 /       9.6 /       9.7 /       9.7
.E3 :0419:    /       9.8 /      10.0 /      10.2 /      10.3
.E4 :0420:    /      10.4 /      10.6 /      10.7 /      10.8
.E5 :0421:    /      10.8 /      10.8 /      10.9 /      10.9
.E6 :0422:    /      10.9 /      10.8 /      10.8
:
.ER LUFT2    0418 C DC201504172054/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6/ 0.12/ 0.15/ 0.00/ 0.00
: LUFT2 (AS 10.00 FS 10.00)

:
: COMMENT- SLOW STEADY RISE TOWARDS FLOOD STAGE IN A FEW DAYS

:*************************************************************************
:Location :Chireno - Attoyac Bayou
:
:LATEST STAGE    15.28 FT AT 2030 CDT ON 0417
.AR : CREST : ATBT2 0419 C DC201504172054/DH07/HGIFFX     16.0
.ER ATBT2    0418 C DC201504172054/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST      7AM        NOON         7PM        MDNT

.E1 :0417:             ::          ::          :: /      15.2
.E2 :0418:    /      15.1 /      15.4 /      15.7 /      15.9
.E3 :0419:    /      16.0 /      16.0 /      15.8 /      15.6
.E4 :0420:    /      15.1 /      14.6 /      14.0 /      13.5
.E5 :0421:    /      13.0 /      12.5 /      12.0 /      11.4
.E6 :0422:    /      10.9 /      10.4 /      10.0
:
.ER ATBT2    0418 C DC201504172054/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6/ 0.06/ 0.15/ 0.00/ 0.00
: ATBT2 (AS 13.50 FS 14.00)

:
: COMMENT- HEAVY LOCALIZED RAINFALL OVERNIGHT PUSHED INTO MINOR FLOOD STAGE,
: LOCATION OF RAINFALL SUGGESTS A FURTHER RISE BUT TO REMAIN IN
: FLOOD STAGE.

:
:pjs
:
:
:...END OF MESSAGE...

$$




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