Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FLUS44 KMOB 131007
HWOMOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
507 AM CDT MON APR 13 2015

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-141100-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
507 AM CDT MON APR 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY AND TONIGHT ALONG
AREA BEACHES.

AN ACTIVE HIGH LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW BRINGS A SERIES OF MID LEVEL
DISTURBANCES ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA IN THE NEAR TERM. WHEN COMBINING
WITH A WEAKENING SURFACE BOUNDARY SLIPPING SLOWLY NORTH AND DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE RUNNING WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE MIDDLE OF
APRIL...THE STAGE REMAINS SET FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINS. GIVEN THE HEAVY RAINS THAT HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED AND THE
ANTICIPATION OF MORE IN THE SHORT TERM...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE COASTAL ZONES THROUGH MID AFTERNOON TODAY.

A LEAD MID LEVEL IMPULSE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER
PORTIONS OF THE COAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING LIFTS EAST ACROSS
THE EASTERN ZONES THIS MORNING. A BRIEF BREAK IN THE RAINS IS
POSSIBLE BETWEEN THE DEPARTING FEATURE AND THE NEXT ONE APPROACHING
FROM THE SOUTHWEST TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TUESDAY ALONG AREA BEACHES.

AN ACTIVE HIGH LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW MAINTAINS THE PASSAGE OF A
SERIES OF MID LEVELS IMPULSES ACROSS THE GULF COAST TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE REMAINS HIGH. TIMING OF EACH IMPULSE
IS VERY DIFFICULT AT THIS TIME...SO THERE WILL BE A MIX OF SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. HOWEVER THE BEST TIME FRAME OF POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN SHOULD
OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 1.25 TO 2.5 INCHES THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY...UP TO FIVE
INCHES...DUE TO PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK IS
LOW THROUGH MID WEEK.

CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS LOOK TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE OUTLOOK AS A STORM SYSTEM SETS UP AGAIN OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
STATES...MAINTAINING A POTENTIALLY ACTIVE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. SOME OF THE RAINS LOCALLY HEAVY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

$$

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-141100-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
507 AM CDT MON APR 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MARINERS CAN EXPECT WINDS...WAVES AND SEAS TO BE LOCALLY HIGHER WITH
THE PASSAGE OF ORGANIZED SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED STORMS. VISIBILITY
LIKELY TO BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A MILE AT TIMES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
HEAVIER RAINS. INCREASED LIGHTNING ACTIVITY IN AND NEAR STORMS WILL
ALSO POSE A HAZARD TO MARINERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED DURING THE
UPCOMING WEEK. WIND...WAVES AND SEAS CAN BE LOCALLY HIGHER IN AND
NEAR STORMS. ANTICIPATE LIGHTNING ACTIVITY TO BECOME FREQUENT AT
TIMES AND VISIBILITY REDUCED TO A MILE OR LESS IN SOME OF THE STORMS
THIS WEEK.

$$


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