Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 260833
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
333 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S THIS MORNING WITH A LITTLE BIT OF PATCHY
FOG ACROSS THE NORTH. A WEAK FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH TODAY BUT
NONE OF THE MODELS ARE PICKING UP PRECIPITATION AS IT LOOKS TOO
DRY TO SQUEEZE OUT ANY RAIN AND NO CONVERGENCE ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
SHOULD WARM UP NICELY TODAY WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 80S...A FEW
70S FAR NORTH.

TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WILL BE THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DEAL
WITH. UPPER LOW WILL CLOSE OFF OVER NEW MEXICO AND HEAD EASTWARD
ON MONDAY WITH RAIN ARRIVING AS EARLY AS TUESDAY MORNING FOR OUR
SOUTHWESTERN COUNTIES. THE LOWER LATITUDE TRACK WILL KEEP THE
MAJORITY OF STORMS ALONG/NEAR THE GULF COAST. INVERTED SURFACE
TROUGH WILL PASS THROUGH ALABAMA TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SHOWERS
LIKELY. RAIN/SHOWERS WILL COME TO AN END THE SECOND HALF OF
WEDNESDAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES RUNNING A LITTLE BELOW AVERAGE MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH NEAR AVERAGE NUMBERS BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

88

&&

.AVIATION... 00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...FOG AND LOW CIGS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE FAR SOUTH AND THE FAR NORTH. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED
TO AROUND 4-7KTS. A MOIST LOW LEVEL LAYER REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA
WITH WEAK LIFT...AND WITH MOIST SURFACE CONDITIONS AT ALL
SITES...EXPECT LOW CLOUDS AND FOG AT ALL TERMINALS OVERNIGHT...WITH
IFR EXPECTED WITH LOCALIZED LIFR. WINDS TURN TO THE NORTHWEST BY
SUNDAY MID DAY AND INCREASE TO AROUND 12KTS DURING THE AFTERNOON
WITH CLEAR SKIES.

14


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     78  49  70  48  69 /  10   0   0  10  30
ANNISTON    80  53  72  50  69 /  10   0   0  10  30
BIRMINGHAM  81  54  73  52  69 /  10   0   0  10  30
TUSCALOOSA  84  56  74  54  70 /  10   0   0  10  40
CALERA      82  55  73  53  69 /  10   0   0  10  40
AUBURN      83  56  74  53  69 /  10   0   0  10  40
MONTGOMERY  87  59  77  56  73 /  10   0   0  10  50
TROY        87  60  79  57  73 /  10   0  10  10  50

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



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