Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND
000 FXUS63 KFGF 250924 AFDFGF AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 324 AM CST WED NOV 25 2009 .DISCUSSION... THE MAIN CHALLENGE WILL BE SNOW CHANCES TODAY AND TEMPS. A BAND OF LIGHT SNOW AND SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUES TO AFFECT MAINLY THE SOUTHERN AREAS...WITH SOME VERY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES FURTHER NORTH. MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND LIKE THE NAM A BIT BETTER SINCE IT HANDLED THE CURRENT LIGHT SNOW BAND BETTER THAN THE GFS AND HAD BETTER HUMIDITY FIELDS. FOR TODAY...EXPECT MOST OF THE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO OCCUR DURING THE MORNING HOURS. A SHORTWAVE WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE AREA...AND LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE WILL END BY 18Z. THERE WILL BE SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE FAR SOUTH. SOME SLICK SPOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE HERE DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE SINCE THERE WAS A PERIOD OF RAIN TO START...SO WILL MENTION THIS IN THE HWO/WX STORY. OTHERWISE...EXPECT INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS AND TEMPS NOT RISING MUCH AT ALL WITH A FEW FLURRIES FOR THE AFTERNOON POSSIBLE. FOR TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THE COOLEST MORNING SHOULD BE THANKSGIVING MORNING WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT. FOR SAT/SUN...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE REGION ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE MINIMAL MOISTURE TO WORK WITH ONCE AGAIN. EXPECT THE WARMER DAY TO BE SATURDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY WITH THE UPPER LOW OVERHEAD AND COLD ADVECTION THROUGH THE DAY. && .AVIATION... EXPECT THE BEST CHANCE FOR MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS NEAR STEADIER SNOW THIS MORNING MAINLY AT THE FAR/GFK SITES. BY AFTERNOON...CIGS SHOULD SLOWLY RISE INTO MVFR/VFR RANGE ALONG WITH INCREASING NW WINDS GUSTING TO 25KT BY AFTERNOON. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...NONE. MN...NONE. && $$ DK