Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 031048
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
548 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.AVIATION...
QUIET AVIATION WEATHER THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. JUST THIN CIRRUS THIS
MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION ALONG WITH 6-8KFT CLOUD
COVER NEAR A PRESENT INVERSION. THIS MID CLOUD SHOULD DISSIPATE
BY LATE MORNING TO BE FOLLOWED BY A CU FIELD EARLY AFTERNOON NEAR
5KFT CLIMBING TO NEAR 8KFT BY LATER IN THE AFTN. LIGHT SOUTHWEST
WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BACK AROUND TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION BY MID TO LATE MORNING WITH SPEEDS NEAR 5 TO 10KTS
AREAWIDE. WINDS WILL DECOUPLE OVERNIGHT.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE AT SFC AND ALOFT KEEPING SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS ASIDE FROM CONTINUED AFTN CUMULUS...AND A FEW
MID AND UPPER LVL CLOUD DECKS IN SOUTHERN PLAINS PERIODICALLY
DRIFTING INTO AREA. PERSISTENT TEMPS OF AFTN HIGHS IN LOWER TO
MID 80S...AND LOWS IN MID 50S TO AROUND 60. AS DIFFUSE UPPER
TROUGH OVER FOUR CORNERS TAKING ITS TIME ORGANIZING...WEATHER
CHANGES WILL BE SLOW DURG THE WEEK. INCREASING INSTABILITY AND
MARGINAL MOISTURE OVER MAINLY WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA WILL
BRING MOSTLY DIURNAL ISOLD TO LOW CHANCE CATEGORY CONVECTION
BEGINNING TUESDAY. AS UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS TO WEST...DRY LINE
BEGINS TO SET UP OVER WEST TX BY LATE IN THE WEEK. CONVECTION MAY
GET STRONGER TOWARDS THE WKND...ALTHOUGH THE OVERALL PATTERN OF
DEVELOPMENT WILL CHANGE LITTLE THRU MOST OF THE FCST PERIOD.

VII

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  83  60  84  64 /   0   0  10  10
MLU  83  59  82  63 /   0   0  10  10
DEQ  80  58  82  61 /   0   0  10  10
TXK  81  59  83  63 /   0   0  10  10
ELD  82  60  82  62 /   0   0  10  10
TYR  82  60  84  63 /   0   0  10  10
GGG  83  59  85  63 /   0   0  10  10
LFK  85  61  86  64 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

VII/13



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