Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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FNAK51 PAFC 251447
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
647 AM AKDT SAT APR 25 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW HUMIDITY FROM EAST ANCHORAGE NORTH...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS THE MATANUSKA VALLEY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW HUMIDITY FROM TALKEETNA SOUTH...

.DISCUSSION...
THE SYNOPTIC WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE LARGELY DICTATED BY INTENSIFYING
LOW PRESSURE TODAY APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN GULF BEFORE BECOMING
STATIONARY AND PERSISTING IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

CLEARING WILL OCCUR FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER
LEVEL MOVES NORTH TOWARD THE INTERIOR. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR HUMIDITY
VALUES TO ONCE AGAIN DROP TO NEAR CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. FOR THIS
REASON...RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR LOW HUMIDITY FROM EAST
ANCHORAGE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MATANUSKA VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN
SUSITNA VALLEY. VERIFICATION OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS WILL BE
HIGHLY CONDITIONAL TO THE EXACT TIMING OF WHEN THE CLEARING SKIES
OCCURS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH.

AS THE LOW BECOMES MORE EXPANSIVE IN THE GULF...LIGHT WINDS WILL
INCREASE FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. AT THIS POINT IT LOOKS AS IF THE RH RECOVERY MAY
BE QUITE POOR IN PARTS OF THE MATANUSKA VALLEY TONIGHT.

BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...MOISTURE LEVELS ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF
SOUTHCENTRAL WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE AS AN EASTERLY WAVE MOVES WEST
ACROSS THE AREA.

AKZ101-260515-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
647 AM AKDT SAT APR 25 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW HUMIDITY FROM EAST ANCHORAGE NORTH...

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   39-48 (-5)   31 (+2)      44-50
RH % (24H TREND)   24-34 (+7)   58-80 (0)    27-44
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 11-20     SE 10-17     N 4-8
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...LOWEST AND MOST CRITICAL RH VALUES FROM EAST ANCHORAGE NORTH
THROUGH THE EAGLE RIVER AND EKLUTNA RIVER VALLEYS.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   53 (-1)      35 (+2)      54
RH % (24H TREND)   15-33 (+9)   74 (+2)      27-35
20FTWND(MPH)       E 1-13       NE 4-14 G22  N 4-8
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...LOWEST AND MOST CRITICAL RH VALUES FROM EAST ANCHORAGE NORTH
THROUGH THE EAGLE RIVER AND EKLUTNA RIVER VALLEYS.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-260515-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
647 AM AKDT SAT APR 25 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS THE MATANUSKA VALLEY...

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   40-48 (-4)   28 (+2)      44-50
RH % (24H TREND)   23-34 (+5)   60-75 (0)    26-54
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 2-9       E 3-11       NE 1-12
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   56 (-1)      35 (+3)      55
RH % (24H TREND)   15-25 (+3)   40-55 (0)    26-33
20FTWND(MPH)       E 2-9        NE 3-15 G22  NE 1-11 G22
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...POOR RECOVERIES EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING
OUT OF THE MATANUSKA RIVER VALLEY FROM LATE EVENING ONWARD.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-260515-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
647 AM AKDT SAT APR 25 2015

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      50           0            40
TEMP (24H TREND)   43-52 (+2)   34 (+1)      46-53
RH % (24H TREND)   30-44 (+1)   69-77 (-6)   28-48
20FTWND(MPH)       E 8-12       NE 10-15     NE 11-17
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      60           0            40
TEMP (24H TREND)   45-51 (+1)   35 (0)       52
RH % (24H TREND)   31-50 (-4)   71-77 (-6)   30-45
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 8-14      NE 7-18 G27  NE 13-21 G30
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ125-260515-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
647 AM AKDT SAT APR 25 2015

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SNOW/RAIN    NONE         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP      50           0            50
TEMP (24H TREND)   35-46 (-1)   32 (+5)      41-49
RH % (24H TREND)   24-57 (+7)   75-87 (-9)   37-72
20FTWND(MPH)       E 10-12      NE 9-20      E 8-19
CWR                0            0            20
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP      80           30           70
TEMP (24H TREND)   38-46 (+1)   31-38 (+3)   43-49
RH % (24H TREND)   36-65 (+2)   73-86 (-11)  31-59
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 7-13      NE 9-20      NE 9-22
CWR                60           0            40
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.

$$

AKZ141-260515-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
647 AM AKDT SAT APR 25 2015

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   38-47 (-3)   12-25 (-4)   40-49
RH % (24H TREND)   23-37 (+6)   78-90 (+3)   29-44
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 3-8       E 2-9        NE 2-13
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-260515-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
647 AM AKDT SAT APR 25 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW HUMIDITY FROM TALKEETNA SOUTH...

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   37-43 (0)    15-27 (-2)   41-47
RH % (24H TREND)   30-50 (+11)  74-90 (+1)   27-54
20FTWND(MPH)       E 2-8        E 3-12       NE 4-13
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   46-54 (+1)   32 (+1)      56
RH % (24H TREND)   15-35 (+5)   74-81 (0)    24-36
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 1-5       N 3-12       N 5-12
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH 15 TO 25 PERCENT
HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED FROM TALKEETNA SOUTH THROUGH WILLOW TOWARD
BIG LAKE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$



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