Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 250805
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
405 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH TODAY AND TONIGHT
BRINGING SHOWERS AND POTENTIALLY A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.
THE FRONT WILL STALL BEFORE BEING PUSHED SOUTH AS A COLD FRONT
LATE SUNDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
BEFORE ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IMPACTS THE AREA MID TO LATE WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE

NCZ105>110-260015-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
405 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           70           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          70           58           74
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  4        S  8         W  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  8         W  7         NW  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.29         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       3            4            2
INVERSION             64/1100      2000         68/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        44           100          52
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3830                      3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     N 18
VENTILATION RATE      61280                     55800
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      19 GEN POOR  42 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              41 GEN GOOD  7 POOR       49 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            8            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 72 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-260015-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
405 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           70           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          68           56           72
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  4        S  6         W  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  7         SW  4        NW  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.29         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       3            4            2
INVERSION             62/1100      2000         66/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        47           100          48
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3200                      3080
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     N 16
VENTILATION RATE      51200                     49280
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  30 FAIR
ADI LATE              40 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  42 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            9            10
MAX LVORI LATE        4            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
72 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053-054-260015-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY
405 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           80           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          70           60           78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  4         S  9         W 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 10         SW  7        W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.28         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            2
INVERSION             63/1100      2000         71/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        50           100          48
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2470                      3530
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      NW 16
VENTILATION RATE      41990                     56480
ADI EARLY             38 FAIR      16 GEN POOR  35 FAIR
ADI LATE              41 GEN GOOD  10 POOR      42 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            7            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 72 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-260015-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION
405 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           70           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          68           58           78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  4         S  7         W  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  8         SW  5        NW 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.23         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       5            4            2
INVERSION             62/1100      2000         69/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        54           100          43
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2400                      4050
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      NW 15
VENTILATION RATE      38400                     60750
ADI EARLY             38 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  30 FAIR
ADI LATE              41 GEN GOOD  5 VERY POOR  46 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
71 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ039-055-056-260015-
WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KINGSTREE...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
405 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           90           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          72           63           83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         SW  9        W 12
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 10 G20     SW  8        W 13
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.31         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       5            4            2
INVERSION             65/1100      2000         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        57           100          43
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2870                      7640
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 26
VENTILATION RATE      63140                     198640
ADI EARLY             17 GEN POOR  38 FAIR      57 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              57 GEN GOOD  9 POOR       97 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            7            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
72 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

8



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