Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FNUS72 KFFC 040120
FWSFFC

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAPMAN FORD...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
920 PM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE BURN AREA
THROUGH TUESDAY WITH GENERALLY LIGHT SURFACE WINDS AND
WEAK TRANSPORT WINDS EXPECTED. BEST SMOKE DISPERSION WILL
DEFINITELY BE AFTER THE INVERSION BRAKES AND BY THE EARLY
AFTERNOON.

KNOWING HOW MUCH THE LAKE WILL INFLUENCE WINDS AND
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS VERY UNCERTAIN SO PLEASE STAY
ON TOP OF TRENDS DURING THE DAY.

ALSO...OUR FORMATTERS CAN NOT PRODUCE 2 HOUR MIXING HEIGHTS
AT THIS TIME BUT A TREND IS NOTED.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING...PARTLY CLOUDY BY
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT...POSSIBLY HIGHER DUE TO THE LAKE.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 5000-5500 FT
                    AGL EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3...INCREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............4 EARLY MORNING.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM    NOON     2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........15       25       40     45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE     NONE     NONE   NONE
TEMP............65       73       77     78
RH..............59       45       38     35
20 FT WIND......LGT/VAR  LGT/VAR  SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.-        -        10     10
DISPERSION IDX..4        25       36     42
LVORI...........3        2        1      1
CWR.............0        0        0      0

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    EARLY EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....40...DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............4 LATE NIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........40     25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE
TEMP............77     72
RH..............38     48
20 FT WIND......SW 3   LGT/VAR
20 FT WIND GUST.-      -
DISPERSION IDX..40     2
LVORI...........1      2
CWR.............0      0

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3...INCREASING TO 31.
LVORI...............4.

$$
FORECASTER...LYNN
REQUESTED BY...JASON DEMAS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150504.CHAPM.01/FFC


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