Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 280500
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOS PINOS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1100 PM MDT MON APR 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE LEANS OVER INTO THE GREAT
BASIN TODAY THEN BUILDS OVERHEAD ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING A
WARMING AND DRYING TREND. BUT FOR TODAY IN NORTHEAST FLOW...THERE
WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS...FAVORING THE MOUNTAINS TO THE SOUTH OF THE BURN
SITE. THESE STORMS AND MIXING WILL COLLAPSE WITH SUNSET. THEN DRY
AND WARMER CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY WITH TERRAIN-DRIVEN WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED MORNING SNOW SHOWERS...THEN ISOLATED
                    AFTERNOON RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 1-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    NEAR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR BECOMING FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON EXCEPT
                    EXCELLENT NEAR STORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/SOUTHWEST 2-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX OF 16400 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH INCREASING TO 8-13 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 THEN INCREASING TO GOOD...
                    TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...JIM RAMIREZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150428.LOSPI.01/GJT


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