Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FNUS74 KMAF 271341
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINON WELL...NM-CAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
841 AM CDT MON APR 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0711 MDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

...WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH EXPECTED BY MID MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BURN SITE AROUND MID MORNING
RESULTING IN A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE
IN WIND SPEEDS. IN ADDITION SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TO BE GOOD TONIGHT
WITH BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. VENTILATION
IS EXPECTED TO BE GOOD BY LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND BECOMING NORTH BY MID MORNING
                    AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH
                    BY LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (231000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................2.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      7 AM         11 AM        3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD       SCTTRD       SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
CHC PCPN (%)....30           30           30
TEMP............44           54           58
RH..............63           47           41
20 FT WIND DIR..NW           N            N
20 FT WIND SPD..3            15           15
20 FT WIND GUST.             20           25
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100       4000         10500
TRANS WIND DIR..NW           N            N
TRANS WIND SPD..9            19           22
VENT CAT........POOR         GOOD         EXCLNT
LAL.............2            2            2
HAINES INDEX....3            2            2

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. NORTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (149000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR
                    (23000 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD       ISOLTD       ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
CHC PCPN (%)....10           10           10
TEMP............57           46           42
RH..............43           64           71
20 FT WIND DIR..N            N             N
20 FT WIND SPD..20           20           20
20 FT WIND GUST.27           25           25
MIX HGT (FT)....5500         2500         2500
TRANS WIND DIR..N            NE           NE
TRANS WIND SPD..27           26           26
VENT CAT........VYGOOD       GOOD         GOOD
LAL.............1            1            1
HAINES INDEX....2            3            3

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP
                    TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (186600 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0            0            0
TEMP............38           51           59
RH..............73           41           27
20 FT WIND DIR..N            NE           NE
20 FT WIND SPD..20           20           15
20 FT WIND GUST.25           25           25
MIX HGT (FT)....500          4000         7000
TRANS WIND DIR..N            NE           NE
TRANS WIND SPD..35           32           25
VENT CAT........POOR         VYGOOD       EXCLNT
LAL.............1            1            1
HAINES INDEX....3            2            3

$$

FORECASTER...CICCONE
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150427.PINON.01/MAF






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