Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 311120
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOSS LAKE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
620 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0630 CDT ON MARCH 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST
AND INCREASE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  AREAS OF FOG
HAVE FORMED NEAR THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING...BUT ANY FOG WILL DISSIPATE
BY MID MORNING.  RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CAN BE
EXPECTED BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND.(20 FT)........
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400-9000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (300-44300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (107400 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............52     60     71     78     83     84
RH..............83     71     56     43     36     34
20 FT WIND......S 6    SE 6   SE 6   E 9    SE 13  SE 14
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....100    BLW100 2100   5900   8400   9000
MIX HGT (M).....30     BLW10M 640    1800   2560   2740
TRANSPORT WIND..W 3    SW 5   S 7    SE 10  SE 13  SE 16
TRAN WIND (M/S).W 1    SW 2   S 3    SE 4   SE 6   SE 7
VRATE KTFT/1000.0      18     35     53     80     102

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND.(20 FT)........
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (63700-107400 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO GOOD (0-43800 KNOT-FT) IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM      10 PM     1 AM      4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE    CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE      NONE
TEMP............81        69        64        60
RH..............37        58        72        80
20 FT WIND......SE 13G20  SE 10G15  SE 10G15  S 8G15
MIX HGT (FT)....7200      200       200       300
MIX HGT (M).....2190      60        60        90
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 17     SE 9      SE 8      SE 9
TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 8      SE 4      SE 4      SE 4
VRATE KTFT/1000.107       44        1         0

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND.(20 FT)........
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500-7700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 23 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (7300-55000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (139500-173000 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...THOREN
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD BAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150331.FOSSL.01/OUN


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