Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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FNUS71 KRNK 011301
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED CREEK WMA...VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF GAME & FISH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
901 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...LOW HUMIDITY AGAIN BUT MUCH LIGHTER WIND SPEEDS FOR TODAY...

WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THIS MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE
OVER OHIO PASSES OVERHEAD DURING EARLY AFTERNOON. AS HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES IN...NORTHERLY FLOW WILL GIVE WAY TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...FOLLOWED BY SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDFLOW DEVELOPING AFTER SUNSET. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALSO MAINTAIN
DRY CONDITIONS AND ABUNDANT SUNSHINE...BOTH OF WHICH WILL ACT TO
DRIVE AFTERNOON RH VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT...DESPITE COOLER HIGH
TEMPERATURES.

ASIDE FROM THE LOW HUMIDITY TODAY APPEARS TO BE A GOOD DAY FOR
PRESCRIBED BURNING.

FOR THURSDAY...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA
WITH INCREASING CLOUDINESS AND INCREASING DEWPOINTS. THE NEXT
APPRECIABLE THREAT FOR WETTING SHOWERS WILL BE FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON
                    THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 7
                    MPH LATE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............2      3      5      6
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51     56     62     64
RH..................33     25     19     18
20 FT WIND..........N 4    N 4    N 3    NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........2800   4000   4800   5000
TRANSPORT WIND......N 13   N 10   N 9    NW 7
CWR.................0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO
                    16 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............7      8      15     20     23     19
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................61     56     50     47     45     41
RH..................20     27     37     44     49     61
20 FT WIND..........E 2    SE 2   S 2    S 3    S 4    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........4600   2600   1800   1000   300    400
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 6   SW 3   S 6    S 8   S 12    S 16
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDINESS (50-80 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 TO 35
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............15     17     30     51     75     78
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40     44     51     56     60     63
RH..................72     73     63     52     48     46
20 FT WIND..........S 5    S 5    S 6    S 8    S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     20     20     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)........600    800    1700   2200   2500   2800
TRANSPORT WIND......S 20   S 20   SW 25  SW 26  SW 25  SW 35
CWR.................0      0      0      0      10     10

$$
FORECASTER...MANUEL
REQUESTED BY...DANIEL HARRINGTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150401.CROOK.01/RNK


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