Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 011546
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARBON RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
946 AM MDT FRI MAY 1 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
THOUGH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS WEAKENING...ANOTHER DAY OF MODEST
WARMING IS FORECAST FOR TODAY. SLIGHT INCREASES IN MOISTURE ARE ALSO
IN PLACE SO A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CONVECTION IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL INITIALLY DEVELOP
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN JUST SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE AND ONCE
DEVELOPED ANY STORM OR SHOWER WILL MOVE SLOWLY TO THE EAST. LOOK
FOR THE CHANCES OF WETTING RAIN TO INCREASE ON SATURDAY WITH
COOLER TEMPERATURES. CHANCES OF SHOWERS INCREASE AGAIN ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.


FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0935 MDT 5/1/15
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING WITH A BAND OF
                       MID AND HIGH CLOUDS CROSSING THE AREA.
                       CUMULUS CLOUDS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
                       WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70-74.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 15-20 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH BECOMING
                       NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...18500 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..WEST 8 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/129637 KNOT-FT AT 1600 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/45778 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       VERY GOOD/129637 KNOT-FT MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41-45.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 52-57 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH DECREASING TO 7
                       TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/124000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING
                       AND FAIR/45000 KNOT-FT LATE-EVENING.

FOR SATURDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS...SOME WITH THUNDER IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66-70.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 22-27 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH BECOMING
                       SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                       THE AFTERNOON.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...16500 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..NORTH 8 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/75000 KNOT-FT AT 1200 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/70931 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       FAIR/58000 KNOT-FT MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...05

$$

REQUESTED BY...CARBON IC DAVID GARCIA
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150501.CARBO.01/ABQ






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