Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 221552
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MIRABAL RX...MT. TAYLOR RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
952 AM MDT WED APR 22 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL TREND A LITTLE LOWER TODAY DUE TO A MID LEVEL
DRY INTRUSION. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH
ABUNDANT MIXING AND HAINES 5 TO 6 VALUES. WIND SPEEDS MAY BREEZE UP
BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON BUT SHOULDNT BE TOO STRONG. THE
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT WILL TEND TO BATTLE WITH THE NORTHERLY
UPSLOPE FLOWS DUE TO THE ASPECT YOU ARE BURNING ON. RECOVERIES WILL
TEND TO BE POOR ALONG THE MIDSLOPE AREAS TONIGHT WITH MUCH BETTER
RECOVERIES ALONG THE CANYON BOTTOMS. THE AIRMASS WILL TREND A BIT
MORE MOIST ON THURSDAY AS THE MID LEVEL DRY INTRUSION ERODES AND
GIVES WAY TO MOISTURE FLOWING UP FROM THE SOUTH. CANT RULE OUT SOME
DRIER CELLS DEVELOPING LATER IN THE AFTERNOON BUT MAINLY VIRGA
IMPACTS WITH SOME ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE
THE OVERALL WIND FLOW WILL INCREASE AND PROVIDE SOME SOUTHWESTERLY
BREEZES ESPECIALLY FAVORING THE EXPOSED RIDGES. SHELTERED NORTHERLY
ASPECTS WILL SEE LESS WIND. SOME WETTING MOISTURE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
NIGHT BUT CONFIDENCE ISNT THE BEST.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT 4/22/15
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY DURING THE MORNING
                       BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY WITH FLAT
                       CUMULUS BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60-64.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 12-14 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT UPSLOPE/UPCANYON 3 TO 5 MPH BECOMING
                       A MIX OF UPSLOPE AND SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
                       DURING THE AFTERNOON. THUS SOME BATTLING
                       WINDS AT TIMES. SPEEDS 7 TO 10 MPH
                       WITH SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTS IN THE MID/UPPER
                       TEENS.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...16000 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..SOUTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/210054 KNOT-FT AT 1600 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/95328 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       EXCELLENT/210054 KNOT-FT MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLEAR.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37-41 MIDSLOPE AND AROUND FREEZING
                       CANYON BOTTOMS.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 30-32 PERCENT MIDSLOPE AND 43-48
                       PERCENT CANYON BOTTOMS.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                       20 MPH BECOMING LIGHT DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON
                       BETWEEN 2000 TO 2200.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/188500 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING
                       AND GOOD/67500 KNOT-FT LATE-EVENING.

FOR THURSDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY DURING THE MORNING...
                       BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
                       AFTERNOON. STORMS WOULD INITIALLY BE DRIER.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56-60.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 14-18 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SWITCH TO UPSLOPE/UPCANYON 3 TO 5 MPH BY 0930.
                       BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH BY LATE
                       MORNING AND INCREASING TO 9 TO 13 MPH IN THE
                       AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...18000 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..SOUTHWEST 19 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/336444 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/178804 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       AND EXCELLENT/336444 KNOT-FT MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...50

$$

REQUESTED BY...MIRABAL RX
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150422.MIRAB.01/ABQ





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