Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 301741
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR VIRGIN MESA WUI...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1141 AM MDT MON MAR 30 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
A STRAY...HIGH BASED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM WITH LITTLE OR NO RAIN
IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING NEAR THE BURN AREA.
ERRATIC DRY MICROBURST WINDS WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE IF THIS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS. OTHERWISE...CONTINUED LOW
HUMIDITIES WITH BORDERLINE FAIR TO GOOD RECOVERIES TONIGHT. NOT MUCH
CHANGE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY...THOUGH TEMPERATURES MAY BE A DEGREE
OR TWO HIGHER AND HUMIDITIES A FEW PERCENT LOWER.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1135 MDT 3/30/15
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63-67.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 13-18 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST TO WEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                       AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                       NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...15000 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..WEST 11 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/151659 KNOT-FT AT 1400 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/60978 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       VERY GOOD/148630 KNOT-FT MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34-38.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 60-65 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING
                       BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 6 MPH.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/121500 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING
                       AND POOR/15000 KNOT-FT LATE-EVENING.

FOR TUESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65-69.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 11-16 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 6 MPH IN THE
                       MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST TO WEST
                       6 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                       IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...16000 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..WEST 11 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/163075 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/42081 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       AND EXCELLENT/163075 KNOT-FT MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...34

$$

REQUESTED BY...TODD DECKER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150330.VIRGI.01/ABQ








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