Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 251139 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
639 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINAL SITES
THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY.

ANDRADE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 500 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER CENTRAL KANSAS WILL CONTINUE MOVING
EAST AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE
PANHANDLES. WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S AND WINDS
ONLY IN THE 10 TO 20 MPH RANGE WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS...SATURDAY SHOULD BE
RATHER PLEASANT. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEGINS DIGGING OVER THE GREAT
BASIN AREA TODAY...AND BY SUNDAY A CLOSED LOW DEVELOPS NEAR THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION. SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BEGINS A PERIOD OF
UNSETTLED WEATHER AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SLOWLY TRACKS EASTWARD RIGHT
OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE BY MONDAY NIGHT. ALL MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE STRENGTH AND TRACK DURING THIS TIME...SO
CONFIDENCE IN A FAIRLY DECENT CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA CONTINUES
TO INCREASE. HAVE THUNDER CHANCES EARLY IN THE EVENT...SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...BUT AM NOT EXPECTING ANY SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME. WITH
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND RAIN CHANCES...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY
BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S ON MONDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY
MORNING COULD BE IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE FAR
WESTERN ZONES.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND DRIES
THINGS OUT THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.

FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS SOUTHWEST WINDS
INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH. HAVE ISSUED A
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR THOSE FAR WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN
COUNTIES...AND SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AS MANY LOCATIONS HAVE HAD RECENT
WETTING RAINS AND GREEN-UP OF FUELS.

ELSENHEIMER

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$






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