Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 012050
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
349 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST.  LOW THUNDERSTORM
POPS KEPT ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS TONIGHT AS CONVECTION FROM THE
HIGHER TERRAIN MAY GET A BOOST FROM THE LOW-LEVEL JET.

DIURNAL POPS KEPT SATURDAY EVENING AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS MAINLY
WESTERN SECTIONS.  MOISTURE IMPROVES SUNDAY NIGHT WITH HEFTY POPS
RETAINED FOR MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.  HEAVY RAINS AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS STILL LOOK POSSIBLE...ALTHOUGH CLOUDS ON TUESDAY
COULD LIMIT SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY.  ALSO...STRONG JET STREAK
PASSING TO OUR SOUTH MAY PROVE TO DISTRUPT OUR MOISTURE FEED IF
MOISTURE-ROBBING STORMS BECOME WIDESPREAD SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLES.
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  03

COCKRELL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 20 PERCENT ACROSS
WESTERN SECTIONS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...BUT MOIST FUELS WILL PREVENT
ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FROM DEVELOPING.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAIN WELL ABOVE ELEVATED OR CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                53  83  57  84  57 /   5   5  10  20  20
BEAVER OK                  57  86  58  87  58 /  20   0  10  10  20
BOISE CITY OK              51  84  53  85  52 /  20  10  20  20  20
BORGER TX                  56  86  60  85  60 /  10   5  10  20  20
BOYS RANCH TX              53  87  56  89  57 /   5   5  10  20  20
CANYON TX                  51  84  56  85  56 /   5   5  10  20  20
CLARENDON TX               53  84  56  83  59 /   5   0   5  10  20
DALHART TX                 50  84  53  86  53 /  20   5  20  20  20
GUYMON OK                  54  86  56  88  56 /  20   5  10  20  20
HEREFORD TX                51  84  54  85  54 /   5   5  10  20  20
LIPSCOMB TX                57  83  60  84  60 /  10   0  10  10  20
PAMPA TX                   53  82  57  82  58 /   5   0  10  10  20
SHAMROCK TX                54  83  56  82  59 /   5   0   5   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              54  84  57  84  60 /   5   0   5   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

11/03




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