Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 250356
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1056 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

.AVIATION... /FOR THE 06Z TAFS/

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN DIRECTION. WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL TOMORROW
WITHOUT A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN SPEED. COINCIDENT WITH PEAK MIXING
DURING THE AFTERNOON THERE COULD BE GUSTS NEAR 25 KNOTS...ESPECIALLY
AT KDHT AND KAMA. AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE WEST MOVES CLOSER
AND SURFACE PRESSURE FIELDS RESPOND TOMORROW EVENING WINDS WILL
PROBABLY BACK TO A MORE OF A SOUTH/SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION THAN WHAT
CURRENT GUIDANCE INDICATES (TYPICAL BIAS). VFR CONDITION WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

BRB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW WILL ROTATE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN CWA AND
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS OVERNIGHT. WILL LEAVE SOME POPS IN FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE CWA
TONIGHT GIVEN THE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS
LOW.

AS THE CURRENT UPPER LOW LIFTS OFF TO THE NORTHEAST ANOTHER
UPPER TROUGH WILL DROP SOUTHEAST INTO THE GREAT BASIN BY
EARLY ON SUNDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL COME WITH THIS
UPPER TROUGH AS IT SLOWLY MOVES ACROSS NEW MEXICO AND THEN
INTO OKLAHOMA BY TUESDAY. RAIN CHANCES LOOK FAIRLY GOOD FOR THE
PANHANDLES SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. AT THIS POINT...THE
NORTHERN CWA MAY SEE THE HEAVIEST RAIN AS THEY WILL BE IN
THE AREA OF BEST LIFT THE LONGEST. BUT...THE LOCATION OF THE
HEAVIEST RAIN MAY SHIFT GIVEN THE TRACK OF THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW.

THE PANHANDLES THEN DRY OUT WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES AWAY AND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS IN.

FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
EARLY THIS EVENING. ANY RAIN THAT FALLS ACROSS THE WEST WILL BE
LIGHT. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY RETURN THE SOUTHWEST
TEXAS PANHANDLE SATURDAY AS THE WINDS PICK UP IN THESE AREAS. RAIN
IS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...SO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL
BE AT A MINIMUM.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

17/03





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