Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 050945
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
444 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
DEEP...RICH MOISTURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES...AS EVIDENCED BY 850 MB DEWPOINTS IN THE 10 TO 12
DEGREE RANGE AND 700 MB DEWPOINTS IN THE 2 TO 5 DEGREE RANGE.
MODERATELY STRONG SOUTHEAST LOW-LEVEL FLOW TODAY WILL KEEP MOISTURE
SUSTAINED.  WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...
OWING TO MODERATELY STRONG DYNAMICS EMERGING FROM MID-LEVEL TROF.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED.  SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...PARTICULARLY IF ANY
CLEARING DEVELOPS...WHICH IS MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS WESTERN
SECTIONS.  HOWEVER...MORNING CLOUDS AND RAIN SEEM LIKELY TO HOLD
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID- TO UPPER-60S TODAY.

WEDNESDAY LOOKS TO BE A RECOVERY DAY...WITH WESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW
MINIMIZING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES...WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS KEPT ONLY
FOR EASTERN SECTIONS WHERE INSTABILITY AXIS EXPECTED TO LINGER.

POPS INCLUDED FOR ALL SECTIONS THURSDAY...AS STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT CONTINUES...WITH DRYLINE SETTING UP AGAIN.  EASTERN SECTIONS
CONTINUE TO BE MOST FAVORED FOR THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT.

THUNDERSTORM POPS CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.  ON SUNDAY...
CLOSED MID-LEVEL LOW LIFTS NORTHEAST...ALLOWING DRY AIR TO ARRIVE.

COCKRELL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                65  54  79  56  78 /  80  50   5  10  30
BEAVER OK                  65  58  83  59  82 /  90  50  10  10  40
BOISE CITY OK              65  50  79  49  78 /  80  50  10   5  20
BORGER TX                  66  57  82  58  80 /  80  60  10  10  30
BOYS RANCH TX              69  52  82  53  81 /  80  40   5  10  20
CANYON TX                  67  53  80  56  78 /  80  50  10  10  30
CLARENDON TX               65  58  82  60  77 /  80  70  10  20  50
DALHART TX                 66  51  80  49  79 /  80  40   5  10  20
GUYMON OK                  66  55  82  54  81 /  80  50  10  10  30
HEREFORD TX                69  52  79  54  78 /  80  40   5  10  30
LIPSCOMB TX                65  60  82  61  80 /  90  50  10  10  30
PAMPA TX                   63  56  79  58  77 /  90  60  10  10  30
SHAMROCK TX                65  60  82  61  77 /  90  70  20  20  50
WELLINGTON TX              67  61  83  62  78 /  90  70  20  30  50

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

17/03



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