Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 012345 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
645 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...IT APPEARS ISOLD TSTMS WHICH HAVE DEVELOPED OVER
NERN NM WILL REMAIN N AND W OF KGUY AND KDHT THIS EVENING. THERE
COULD BE A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS NEVERTHELESS. HOWEVER...HAVE DECIDED
NOT TO MENTION ANY PRECIPITATION DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH SOMEWHAT THIS EVENING...THEN INCREASE AGAIN AROUND MID
MORNING SATURDAY.

ANDRADE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 349 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST.  LOW THUNDERSTORM
POPS KEPT ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS TONIGHT AS CONVECTION FROM THE
HIGHER TERRAIN MAY GET A BOOST FROM THE LOW-LEVEL JET.

DIURNAL POPS KEPT SATURDAY EVENING AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS MAINLY
WESTERN SECTIONS.  MOISTURE IMPROVES SUNDAY NIGHT WITH HEFTY POPS
RETAINED FOR MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.  HEAVY RAINS AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS STILL LOOK POSSIBLE...ALTHOUGH CLOUDS ON TUESDAY
COULD LIMIT SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY.  ALSO...STRONG JET STREAK
PASSING TO OUR SOUTH MAY PROVE TO DISTRUPT OUR MOISTURE FEED IF
MOISTURE-ROBBING STORMS BECOME WIDESPREAD SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLES.
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  03

COCKRELL

FIRE WEATHER...
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 20 PERCENT ACROSS
WESTERN SECTIONS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...BUT MOIST FUELS WILL PREVENT
ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FROM DEVELOPING.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAIN WELL ABOVE ELEVATED OR CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.  03

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$







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