Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 011613 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1213 PM EDT FRI MAY 1 2015 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN A MODERATING TREND TODAY AND BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND RETURN TEMPERATURES TO MORE SEASONABLE LEVELS. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... UPDATE... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH COOLER MID 50S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST WHERE ONSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH EXPECTED AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... ALOFT...A TROUGH THAT EXTENDS BACK INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FROM A NORTH ATLANTIC LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PULL AWAY FROM THE REGION TODAY. ANOTHER UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS NORTHERN QUEBEC AS A THIRD LOW MOVES OFF THE COAST NEAR HATTERAS LATE TODAY. THIS WILL LEAVE MAINE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS WITH A VERY LIGHT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT. SFC...A SFC TROUGH WILL MOVE TOWARD THE ST LAWRENCE TONIGHT. SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS...DRY WEATHER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH MORE SUNSHINE THAN WE HAVE SEEN IN QUITE SOME TIME. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE SEASONABLY COOL. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS INTO THE NORTHEAST THIS WEEKEND FOR A BEAUTIFUL SPRING WEEKEND. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE 60S TO LOW 70S DURING THE DAY AND UPPER 30S TO 40S AT NIGHT. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... A SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH WILL SWEEP ACROSS QUEBEC MONDAY NIGHT WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PUSHING ACROSS MAINE. EXPECT AT MOST .25 INCH QPF WITH THE FROPA. THE NORTHEAST U.S. WILL BE IN A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH A RIDGE AXIS CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL WITH DRY WEATHER. && .AVIATION /16Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TAF SITES MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY DUE TO RAIN SHOWERS. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. && .CLIMATE... THE MONTH OF APRIL ENDED WITH AN AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF 2 DEGREES BELOW THE 30-YEAR AVERAGE AT CARIBOU AND 1.8 BELOW AVERAGE AT BANGOR. IT WAS THE COOLEST APRIL AT BOTH LOCATIONS SINCE 2007. A DETAILED MONTHLY WEATHER SUMMARY IS NOW AVAILABLE ON THE NEWS HEADLINES ON THE TOP OF OUR WEB PAGE AT: WEATHER.GOV/CAR && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/CB SHORT TERM...OKULSKI LONG TERM...OKULSKI AVIATION...NORCROSS/OKULSKI MARINE...NORCROSS/OKULSKI CLIMATE...CB

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