Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 010142 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 942 PM EDT THU APR 30 2015 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... 925 PM UPDATE: OUTSIDE OF FCST HRLY TEMPS UPDATED THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE OVRNGT TO UNCHGD FCST LOWS BASED ON BIASES SHOWN ON THE PREV FCST AT 9 PM FROM OBSVD TEMPS THIS HR...NO OTHER CHGS NEEDED TO THE REST OF THE NEAR TERM FCST ELEMENTS. IR SAT IMAGERY SHOWS SOME CLRG HEADING INTO FAR NERN PTNS OF THE FA FROM FAR NRN NB AND THE GASPE PENINSULA OF QB...PRETTY CLOSE TO THE TMG WE INDICATED THE CLRG PROGRESSION IN CLD CVR FROM THE LAST FCST UPDATE. ORGNL FCST: LOW PRESSURE EAST OF THE MARITIMES WILL MOVE EAST TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW WILL GENERALLY KEEP MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH CLOUD COVER STARTING TO DECREASE LATE. COULD ALSO HAVE AN ISOLATED SHOWER THIS EVENING THOUGH MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 30S NORTH TO THE MID TO UPPER 30S DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH COOLER MID 50S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST WHERE ONSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... THE LINGERING MARITIME MOISTURE WHICH HAS BROUGHT US MANY CLOUDY DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVES IN. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY FOLLOWED BY A SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARMER DAY ON SATURDAY. THE BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN LATE IN THE WEEKEND. WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE JUST OFFSHORE COMBINED WITH SLIGHTLY LOWER PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL CANADA WILL RESULT IN A LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OF WARMER AIR WORKING INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY. WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE, HIGHS SHOULD REACH THE UPPER 60S ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR AND VERY MILD ACROSS THE AREA. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ON MONDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT WARM AIR INTO THE AREA. THE DAY WILL BE BREEZY AND MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING WITH INCREASING CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES. HIGHS SHOULD REACH THE LOW 70S. SOME SHOWERS WITH THE COLD FRONT MAY STRAY INTO NORTHERN AND WESTERN AREAS LATE IN THE DAY. THE GFS IS SHOWING JUST A SMALL BIT OF CAPE, AROUND 50 J/KG LATE MONDAY. A VERY ISOLATED RUMBLE OF THUNDER CAN`T BE RULED OUT BUT WILL KEEP THUNDER OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR NOW. A WEAK ELONGATED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT ON TUESDAY. THE NORTH WILL BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY. CLOUDS WILL GIVE WAY TO SOME SUNSHINE DOWNEAST AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. THE AIR IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT WILL STILL BE MILD WITH HIGHS TUESDAY REACHING THE 60S. WEDNESDAY WILL LIKELY REMAIN MILD. A WEAK SECONDARY COLD FRONT LATE WEDNESDAY MAY BRING A SPRINKLE OVER THE NORTH. COOLER DRIER AIR IS THEN LIKELY TO MOVE IN ON THURSDAY WITH PARTIAL SUNSHINE AS THE CANADIAN HIGH PUSHES COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION. && .AVIATION /22Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... NEAR TERM: COULD HAVE LOCALIZED MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS EARLY TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. CONDITIONS MAY DROP TO MVFR VERY LATE MONDAY OVER THE NORTH AND ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. A RETURN TO VFR CONDITIONS IS THEN EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. AN ISOLATED SHOWER IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. SHORT TERM: SURFACE FEATURES WILL BE VERY WEAK THIS WEEKEND INTO MOST OF NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT, WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...VJN SHORT TERM...BLOOMER LONG TERM...BLOOMER AVIATION...VJN/BLOOMER MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER

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