000
FXUS62 KFFC 100954
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
452 AM EST WED FEB 10 2010

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
STRONG COLD ADVECTION CONTINUING TODAY. CURRENTLY SEEING A GOOD AREA
OF SNOW FLURRIES ACROSS NORTHWEST GEORGIA. I DO NOT EXPECT MUCH
ACCUMULATION WITH THE FLURRIES IN NORTH GEORGIA TODAY...BUT THIS WILL
NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY THIS MORNING. WINDS HAVE ALREADY BEEN
GUSTING BETWEEN 45 AND 50 MPH ON TOP OF BRASSTOWN BALD AND I EXPECT
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO SEE HIGH WIND WARNING LEVEL GUSTS THROUGH
THE DAY TODAY. I AM UPGRADING THE WIND ADVISORY ACROSS OUR MOUNTAIN
COUNTIES TO A HIGH WIND WARNING THROUGH 00Z. WIND ADVISORY CONTINUES
ALL AREAS THROUGH THROUGH TONIGHT. WIND CHILL VALUES SHOULD REMAIN
ABOVE ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH IT WILL STILL FEEL
VERY COLD. DRY WEATHER EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THE NEXT
SYSTEM IS STILL A BIT PROBLEMATIC RIGHT NOW. MODELS STILL PERSIST IN
KEEPING BEST MOISTURE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. ENOUGH MOISTURE
SHOULD SPREAD INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA FRIDAY MORNING
FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF A RAIN AND SNOW MIXTURE. RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS
THAT THERE WILL BE SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION SPREADING INTO NORTH
GEORGIA DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...AND THIS SITUATION WILL NEED TO BE
WATCHED FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME WINTRY MIX FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD REMAINS A BIT UNCERTAIN AS WELL. THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW KEEPS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THE
PERIOD...BUT WE CANNOT RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT
PRECIPITATION SUNDAY AS A FAIRLY STRONG UPPER LOW SWINGS THROUGH THE
OHIO VALLEY AND THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE SYSTEM PUSHES A MODERATE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO THE STATE. I WILL BE INCLUDING LOW POPS SUNDAY
AND SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST DRY FOR
NOW.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WIND CRITERIA WILL BE REACHED TODAY ACROSS ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE CLOSE OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL
GEORGIA. HOWEVER...ONE HOUR FUELS ARE NOT LIKELY TO DRY OUT ENOUGH
TODAY FOR RED FLAG CONDITIONS. WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON FUELS
FOR THURSDAY...WINDS COME DOWN BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE CLOSE
ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOME OF NORTH GEORGIA.

&&

.AVIATION...
WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 20 TO 35 KT RANGE EARLY THIS MORNING
AND MAINTAIN THIS THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. THE WINDS
WILL BEGIN DIMINISHING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. A
STRATO CU LAYER...BKN015-025...HAS DEVELOPED IN THE STRONG CAA OVER
TN AND AL AND THIS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
MORNING. THERE ARE A FEW FLURRIES FALLING OUT OF THIS DECK BUT
NOTHING TO REDUCE VISIBILITIES. GFS HAS THIS DECK DIMINISHING
BETWEEN 15Z AND 18Z...HOWEVER THE RUC HOLDS ON TO THIS INTO THE
AFTERNOON FOR THE ATL AREA. WILL LEAN MORE TOWARD THE RUC AS STRONG
CAA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH OUT THE DAY...WEAKENING TOWARD LATE
AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          44  24  52  28  48 /   5   0   0   5  20
ATLANTA         43  24  50  30  44 /   5   0   0   5  20
BLAIRSVILLE     39  20  45  25  42 /  10  10   0   5  20
CARTERSVILLE    41  23  47  26  43 /  10   0   0   5  20
COLUMBUS        46  27  53  33  46 /   0   0   5  10  30
GAINESVILLE     42  23  49  28  46 /  10   5   5   5  20
MACON           50  26  53  32  47 /   0   0   0   5  30
ROME            40  23  47  26  43 /  10   5   0   5  20
PEACHTREE CITY  43  23  50  28  46 /   0   0   0   5  20
VIDALIA         50  30  54  33  48 /   0   0   0   5  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BALDWIN...BANKS...BARROW...BARTOW...BIBB...BLECKLEY...BUTTS...
CARROLL...CATOOSA...CHATTAHOOCHEE...CHATTOOGA...CHEROKEE...
CLARKE...CLAYTON...COBB...COWETA...CRAWFORD...CRISP...DADE...
DEKALB...DODGE...DOOLY...DOUGLAS...EMANUEL...FAYETTE...FLOYD...
FORSYTH...GLASCOCK...GORDON...GREENE...GWINNETT...HALL...
HANCOCK...HARALSON...HARRIS...HEARD...HENRY...HOUSTON...
JACKSON...JASPER...JEFFERSON...JOHNSON...JONES...LAMAR...
LAURENS...MACON...MADISON...MARION...MERIWETHER...MONROE...
MONTGOMERY...MORGAN...MUSCOGEE...NEWTON...NORTH FULTON...
OCONEE...OGLETHORPE...PAULDING...PEACH...PIKE...POLK...PULASKI...
PUTNAM...ROCKDALE...SCHLEY...SOUTH FULTON...SPALDING...STEWART...
SUMTER...TALBOT...TALIAFERRO...TAYLOR...TELFAIR...TOOMBS...
TREUTLEN...TROUP...TWIGGS...UPSON...WALKER...WALTON...WARREN...
WASHINGTON...WEBSTER...WHEELER...WHITFIELD...WILCOX...WILKES...
WILKINSON.

HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: DAWSON...FANNIN...GILMER...LUMPKIN...MURRAY...PICKENS...
TOWNS...UNION...WHITE.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES: DAWSON...FANNIN...GILMER...LUMPKIN...
MURRAY...PICKENS...TOWNS...UNION...WHITE.

&&

$$

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