Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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AXUS74 KFWD 050130
DGTFWD
TXC001-027-035-085-093-097-099-113-119-121-133-139-143-145-147-161-
181-193-213-217-221-223-231-237-251-257-277-281-289-293-309-331-333-
337-349-363-367-379-395-397-425-429-439-467-497-503-050000-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
830 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

...SPRING RAINFALL SIGNIFICANTLY EASING MULTI-YEAR DROUGHT...

FOR ADDITIONAL CONTENT...VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FORTWORTH/?N=DROUGHT

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SYNOPSIS...

NUMEROUS RAIN EVENTS THIS SPRING HAVE ADDED CONSIDERABLE WATER TO
MANY AREA RESERVOIRS. JUST 3 MONTHS AGO...THE WATER SUPPLY LAKES FOR
THE CITY OF DALLAS WERE LESS THAN TWO THIRDS FULL BUT ARE NOW AT
NEARLY 95 PERCENT OF CAPACITY. ALTHOUGH MANY LAKES CONTINUE TO
STRUGGLE IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS...LAKE MINERAL WELLS
DOUBLED ITS STORAGE DURING APRIL...AND IS FULL FOR THE FIRST TIME
SINCE EARLY 2012.

THE EXTENT OF AT LEAST SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) WITHIN THE STATE OF TEXAS
HAS FALLEN BELOW 16 PERCENT FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE NOVEMBER 2010.
DURING MARCH AND APRIL...THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH METROPLEX EXPERIENCED
IMPROVEMENT OF 2 TO 3 DROUGHT CATEGORIES. MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EAST
TEXAS IS NOW FREE OF DROUGHT. HOWEVER...EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT (D4)
CONTINUES TO PLAGUE THE POSSUM KINGDOM AREA WHERE IT HAS BEEN IN
PLACE SINCE JUNE 2014.

THE U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK SUGGESTS ADDITIONAL IMPROVEMENT
COULD OCCUR IN PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS WITH ABOVE NORMAL
RAINFALL EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE MONTH OF MAY. ALTHOUGH THE
WET START TO THE YEAR IS HELPING AGRICULTURE IN THE REGION...THE
EXTENSIVE HYDROLOGIC DROUGHT ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS
IS UNLIKELY TO END BEFORE THE SUMMER ARRIVES.

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CLIMATE SUMMARY...

APRIL RAINFALL TOTALS WERE WELL ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. A HANDFUL OF LOCATIONS TALLIED MORE THAN 10
INCHES DURING APRIL...TRIPLE NORMAL VALUES FOR THE MONTH.

ALTHOUGH YEAR-TO-DATE TOTALS THROUGH THE FIRST 4 MONTHS OF THE 2016
ARE GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL...LONG TERM DEFICITS PERSIST. WHILE THE
SHORT TERM RAINFALL HAS TURNED THE REGION GREEN...THESE MULTI-YEAR
DEFICITS CONTINUE TO MANIFEST THEMSELVES IN LOW LAKE LEVELS AND IN
THE DEEP SOIL MOISTURE NEEDED TO RECHARGE AQUIFERS.

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LAKE LEVELS...

NUMEROUS RAIN EVENTS HAVE MAINTAINED ADEQUATE AND EVEN SURPLUS
TOPSOIL MOISTURE...ENHANCING THE RUNOFF INTO THE CREEKS AND STREAMS
THAT FEED THE MAJOR RIVER/RESERVOIR SYSTEMS. LAKE RAY HUBBARD FELL
TO AN ALL-TIME RECORD LOW LEVEL IN DECEMBER...BUT AFTER GAINING MORE
THAN 38 BILLION GALLONS OF WATER IN THE LAST 3 MONTHS...IT IS NEARLY
FULL...ITS HIGHEST LEVEL IN 3 YEARS.

ALTHOUGH MOST LAKES EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR ARE NOW FULL...MOST OF
THE RESERVOIRS WEST OF THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH METROPLEX REMAIN VERY
LOW. MUCH MORE RAINFALL IS NEEDED WITHIN THE WATERSHEDS OF THESE
LAKES TO REVERSE SEVERAL YEARS OF DROUGHT.

AS THE SUMMER APPROACHES...EVAPORATION AND WATER USAGE WILL STEADILY
RISE. EVEN IF WARM SEASON CROPS THRIVE FROM ADEQUATE RAINFALL...THE
MULTI-YEAR HYDROLOGIC DROUGHT ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS
IS LIKELY TO PERSIST THIS SUMMER.

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WATER RESTRICTIONS...

AFTER NEARLY 5 YEARS OF SIGNIFICANT WATER RESTRICTIONS...THE NORTH
TEXAS MUNICIPAL WATER DISTRICT (NTMWD) BEGAN ALLOWING TWICE-PER-WEEK
WATERING ON MAY 1. SPRINKLERS AND IRRIGATION SYSTEMS ARE STILL
PROHIBITED BETWEEN 10 AM AND 6 PM (APRIL 1 TO OCTOBER 31). THE NTMWD
SERVES 1.6 MILLION CUSTOMERS EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CITY OF
DALLAS.

IN APRIL 2014...THE FORT WORTH CITY COUNCIL MADE PERMANENT ITS
TWICE-PER-WEEK LIMIT ON LANDSCAPE WATERING. ONLY HAND WATERING IS
ALLOWED BETWEEN 10 AM AND 6 PM. ARLINGTON...ALSO WITHIN THE TARRANT
REGIONAL WATER DISTRICT (TRWD) SERVICE AREA...HAS SIMILAR
RESTRICTIONS BUT IS NOT READY TO MAKE THEM PERMANENT. DALLAS HAS
MADE PERMANENT ITS TWICE-PER-WEEK LIMIT...BUT THE RESTRICTION ON
DAYTIME WATERING IS LIMITED TO THE WARM SEASON (APRIL 1 TO OCTOBER
31). SINCE WATER RESTRICTIONS VARY CONSIDERABLY THROUGHOUT THE
METROPLEX...RESIDENTS SHOULD KEEP INFORMED WITH THE CURRENT
GUIDELINES FROM THEIR MUNICIPALITY OR WATER UTILITY PROVIDER.

VOLUNTARY CONSERVATION CONTINUES FOR BOTH WACO AND TEMPLE/KILLEEN.
HOWEVER...WATER RESTRICTIONS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR SOME COMMUNITIES
WITHIN MCLENNAN AND BELL COUNTIES.

THE BRAZOS RIVER AUTHORITY PROJECTS THE STAGE 2 DROUGHT WARNING
WITHIN MUCH OF THE UPPER BRAZOS BASIN (POSSUM KINGDOM...GRANBURY...
AND WHITNEY) WILL COME TO AN END BY JUNE 30. HOWEVER...PROCTOR
LAKE...WHICH IS CURRENTLY IN STAGE 4 PRO-RATA CURTAILMENT...WILL
LIKELY BE MUCH SLOWER TO IMPROVE.

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PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THROUGHOUT THE LONE STAR STATE...ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL IS MORE
LIKELY THAN BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THE MONTH OF MAY...WHICH IS
CLIMATOLOGICALLY THE WETTEST MONTH OF THE YEAR IN THIS REGION.
ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS...WHERE EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT
(D4) PERSISTS...WELL ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL THIS MONTH IS TWICE AS
LIKELY AS WELL BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL.

THE OUTLOOKS FOR THE SUMMER MONTHS ARE LESS CONCLUSIVE AT THIS
TIME...BUT WITH EL NINO CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN THIS
YEAR...PROJECTIONS FOR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL RETURN THIS FALL AND
CONTINUE INTO 2016. HYDROLOGIC ISSUES WILL CONTINUE THIS SUMMER...
BUT THE TIDE MAY BE FINALLY TURNING ON OUR MULTI-YEAR DROUGHT.

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NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED DURING JUNE.

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&&

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RELATED WEB SITES...

NWS FORT WORTH DROUGHT PAGE - WEATHER.GOV/FORTWORTH/?N=DROUGHT

NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM - DROUGHT.GOV
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER - WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES - WATER.WEATHER.GOV

NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER - DROUGHT.UNL.EDU
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR - DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER - DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATES CONTINUOUS DISCUSSION AMONG
NUMEROUS AGENCIES...ACADEMIA...AND OTHER LOCAL INTERESTS. THE
EXPERTISE OF ITS MEMBERS HAS BEEN INVALUABLE IN DEVELOPING DROUGHT
PRODUCTS AND SERVICES FOR OUR CUSTOMERS AND PARTNERS.

THE DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER (MAINTAINED BY THE NATIONAL DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER) HAS ALLOWED VARIOUS IMPACTS TO BE COMPILED WITHIN
ONE CLEARINGHOUSE. THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE AGRICULTURAL ISSUES...
HYDROLOGIC DEFICITS...FIRE DANGER...AND OTHER SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC
CONSEQUENCES.

THE TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE CONTINUALLY MONITORS VEGETATION
CONDITIONS AND WILDFIRE POTENTIAL. THE STATE AGENCY ALSO MAINTAINS A
CURRENT LIST OF COUNTYWIDE BURN BANS.

OUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION ARE SUMMARIZED FROM A
VARIETY OF PRODUCTS CREATED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC).
CPC IS A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE (NWS) ENTITY WITHIN THE NATIONAL
CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION (NCEP).

HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION IS COMPILED FROM NUMEROUS SOURCES...
INCLUDING THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS (USACE)...THE TEXAS WATER
DEVELOPMENT BOARD (TWDB)...AND LOCAL WATER DISTRICTS.

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QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK ON OUR DROUGHT
PRODUCTS AND SERVICES...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
3401 NORTHERN CROSS BLVD.
FORT WORTH, TX 76137

PHONE: (817) 429-2631
E-MAIL: SR-FWD.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

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$$

HUCKABY/25


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