Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 151935
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
335 PM EDT WED APR 15 2015

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WEDGING ACROSS THE CAROLINAS WILL KEEP IT CLOUDY...
COOL AND DAMP OVERNIGHT. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG
THE FRONT TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT AND THEN TRACK NORTH JUST OFF THE
CAROLINA COAST THROUGH FRIDAY. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE OFF TO THE
EAST...LEAVING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CAROLINAS BY THE WEEKEND. A
WARM FRONT WILL MOVE MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE CAROLINAS ON SUNDAY
WITH A COLD FRONT TO FOLLOW MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-161145-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
335 PM EDT WED APR 15 2015

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          90           60           30
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   1            2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          51           66           56           74
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 11 G21    NE 12 G25    NE  7 G20    N  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 12 G22    NE 11 G24    NE  5        N  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.25         0.22         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       10           10           5            3
INVERSION             NONE         NONE         2100         62/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        93           72           100          61
DSI                                1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2890                      4150
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 31                      N 14
VENTILATION RATE                   89590                     58100
ADI EARLY             41 GEN GOOD  55 GEN GOOD  60 GEN GOOD  41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              28 FAIR      76 GOOD      4 VERY POOR  48 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            9            9
MAX LVORI LATE        4            3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-161145-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
335 PM EDT WED APR 15 2015

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          80           40           20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          48           64           55           75
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 10        NE  9        NE  4        N  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 10        NE  7        NE  4        N  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.14         0.09         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       10           8            4            1
INVERSION             NONE         NONE         2100         60/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        99           73           100          58
DSI                                1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2110                      4700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 21                     NW  6
VENTILATION RATE                   44310                     28200
ADI EARLY             33 FAIR      34 FAIR      30 FAIR      28 FAIR
ADI LATE              26 FAIR      35 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  31 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            9            9
MAX LVORI LATE        4            3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-161145-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
335 PM EDT WED APR 15 2015

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          80           30           0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
LAL                   1            2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          52           65           56           75
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 11 G20    NE 11 G22    NE  6        N  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 12 G21    NE 10 G21    NE  4        N  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.16         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       10           8            2
INVERSION             NONE         NONE         2100         62/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        98           76           100          62
DSI                                1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            2            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1850                      4520
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      N  5
VENTILATION RATE                   31450                     22600
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      32 FAIR      31 FAIR      38 FAIR
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      32 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  38 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            8            9
MAX LVORI LATE        4            3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-161145-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
335 PM EDT WED APR 15 2015

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          80           30           0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
LAL                   1            2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          50           63           54           76
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 11        NE 10        NE  5        N  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 11        NE  8        N  4         N  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.10         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       10           7            2
INVERSION             NONE         NONE         2100         60/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        95           74           100          56
DSI                                1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1960                      4950
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      NW  2
VENTILATION RATE                   29400                     9900
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      37 FAIR      28 FAIR      28 FAIR
ADI LATE              24 FAIR      29 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  29 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        4            3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27



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