Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 160742
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
342 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG A FRONT STALLED ALONG THE GEORGIA
COAST THIS MORNING...SLOWLY WEAKENING LATER TODAY AND FRIDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL SHIFT EAST AND OFFSHORE
TODAY. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE CAROLINAS ON
SUNDAY WITH A COLD FRONT TO FOLLOW MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-162345-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
342 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           50           30
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          66           57           76
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 10        E  7         N  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E 10         NE  5        N  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.06         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            2
INVERSION             58/1000      2200         67/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        69           99           58
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3210                      3770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 28                      NE  7
VENTILATION RATE      89880                     26390
ADI EARLY             43 GEN GOOD  60 GEN GOOD  11 POOR
ADI LATE              71 GOOD      3 VERY POOR  20 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
75 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-162345-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
342 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           50           20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          65           55           74
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  9        NE  5        N  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  8        NE  4        N  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.06         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1
INVERSION             54/1000      2200         64/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        77           100          57
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2460                      3830
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 20                      NE  8
VENTILATION RATE      49200                     30640
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      40 FAIR      15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              38 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        4            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-162345-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
342 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           50           20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          67           57           74
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 11        NE  7        N  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  9        NE  6        N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.06         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1
INVERSION             56/1000      2200         66/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        70           99           63
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2080                      3760
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 15                     N  9
VENTILATION RATE      31200                     33840
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      30 FAIR      13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              29 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-162345-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
342 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           40           20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          64           55           75
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 10        NE  6        N  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  8        NE  5        N  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.05         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1
INVERSION             53/1000      2200         64/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        73           100          56
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2050                      3830
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 13                     N  8
VENTILATION RATE      26650                     30640
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      26 FAIR      15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              26 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40


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