Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 181943
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
343 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY. A FEW STORMS COULD
BE STRONG TO SEVERE MONDAY. DRY AND SEASONABLE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD INTO THE AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT MAY
BRING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INTO LATE WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-191145-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
343 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           70           100          50
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   1            2            2            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          60           75           65           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  5         E  6         S 11         SW  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  6         SE  8        S  9         SW 13 G25
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.29         0.41         0.14
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            11           4
INVERSION             2000         69/1000      2000         72/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        97           70           97           56
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3570                      5230
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 28                     SW 35
VENTILATION RATE                   99960                     183050
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  38 FAIR      58 GEN GOOD  40 FAIR
ADI LATE              6 VERY POOR  73 GOOD      10 POOR      105 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            7            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        7            3            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-191145-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
343 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           70           100          50
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   1            2            2            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          62           75           65           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  6        E  6         S 10         SW  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  6         SE  9        S  8         SW 13 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.34         0.40         0.12
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            2
INVERSION             2000         69/1000      2000         72/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        96           71           99           53
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3530                      7470
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 25                     SW 30
VENTILATION RATE                   88250                     224100
ADI EARLY             20 GEN POOR  41 GEN GOOD  55 GEN GOOD  40 FAIR
ADI LATE              6 VERY POOR  68 GOOD      10 POOR      107 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            6            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        6            3            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
37 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-191145-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
343 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           80           100          50
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   1            2            2            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          63           76           65           83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  6        E  7         S 11         SW  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  6         SE 10        SW  9        SW 13 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.37         0.39         0.11
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            2
INVERSION             2000         71/1200      2000         71/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        98           77           98           58
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2840                      5720
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      SW 31
VENTILATION RATE                   62480                     177320
ADI EARLY             21 FAIR      19 GEN POOR  37 FAIR      40 FAIR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       51 GEN GOOD  10 POOR      98 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            7            6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        6            4            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-191145-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
343 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           90           100          50
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   1            2            2            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          63           76           64           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  7        E  7         S 11         SW  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  7         SE  9        SW  8        SW 13 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.41         0.38         0.09
PRECIP DURATION       2            9            9            2
INVERSION             2000         70/1100      2000         72/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        97           72           97           53
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3560                      7480
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      SW 29
VENTILATION RATE                   71200                     216920
ADI EARLY             21 FAIR      26 FAIR      48 GEN GOOD  38 FAIR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       54 GEN GOOD  9 POOR       101 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            6            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        6            3            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
36 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

8


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