Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 150725
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
325 AM EDT WED APR 15 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH AND MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A
WEDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE...PUSHING IN FROM THE NORTH...WILL KEEP THE
WEATHER UNSETTLED WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE UP
THE SOUTHEAST COAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...KEEPING SHOWERS IN THE
FORECAST. IT WILL BE WARM AND UNSETTLED DURING THE WEEKEND AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT MAY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-152330-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
325 AM EDT WED APR 15 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           100          90
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          68           52           67
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  5         NE 10 G20    NE 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  8        NE 11 G21    E 11 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.36         0.21
PRECIP DURATION       5            10           11
INVERSION             68/0800      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        67           92           72
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2150                      2360
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 18                      SW 16
VENTILATION RATE      38700                     37760
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  41 GEN GOOD  42 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              37 FAIR      29 FAIR      51 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-152330-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
325 AM EDT WED APR 15 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          100          80
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          68           48           63
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  6        NE 10        NE  9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  8        NE 10        NE  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.29         0.17
PRECIP DURATION       5            9            11
INVERSION             67/0800      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        70           90           78
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2070                      2080
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 17                      NW 14
VENTILATION RATE      35190                     29120
ADI EARLY             23 FAIR      33 FAIR      32 FAIR
ADI LATE              34 FAIR      30 FAIR      32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        4            4            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-152330-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
325 AM EDT WED APR 15 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           100          80
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          74           52           65
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  5         NE 11        NE 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  8        NE 11 G20    NE  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.54         0.23
PRECIP DURATION       5            10           11
INVERSION             72/0800      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        73           93           77
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2200                      2340
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      NW 17
VENTILATION RATE      26400                     39780
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       28 FAIR      31 FAIR
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      23 FAIR      35 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        5            4            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-152330-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
325 AM EDT WED APR 15 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          100          80
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          73           50           63
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  6        NE 11        NE  9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  8        NE 10        NE  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.46         0.19
PRECIP DURATION       5            9            11
INVERSION             71/0800      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        70           88           76
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2140                      2390
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 15                      NW 15
VENTILATION RATE      32100                     35850
ADI EARLY             21 FAIR      29 FAIR      32 FAIR
ADI LATE              31 FAIR      23 FAIR      32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        4            4            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40



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