Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 161916
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
316 PM EDT THU APR 16 2015

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SLOWLY UP THE CAROLINA COAST AS THE
CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES PROGRESSIVELY OFFSHORE OF THE
NORTHEAST STATES THROUGH FRIDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH
THROUGH THE CAROLINAS ON SUNDAY WITH A COLD FRONT TO FOLLOW
MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY WEATHER WILL FOLLOW THEREAFTER
THROUGH MID WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-171130-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
316 PM EDT THU APR 16 2015

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           30           0            20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          58           78           60           82
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  7         N  6         LGT/VAR      N  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  6        N  6         LGT/VAR      E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         0
INVERSION             2200         68/1000      2000         67/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          53           96           47
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4840                      4310
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      S  3
VENTILATION RATE                   72600                     12930
ADI EARLY             60 GEN GOOD  23 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              4 VERY POOR  44 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  17 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            9            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        9            2            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-171130-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
316 PM EDT THU APR 16 2015

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          55           77           59           81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  5         N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  3        N  6         LGT/VAR      NE  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            0
INVERSION             2200         65/1000      2000         66/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          52           97           46
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4920                      5170
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     NE  2
VENTILATION RATE                   29520                     10340
ADI EARLY             40 FAIR      18 GEN POOR  15 GEN POOR  10 POOR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  34 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            9            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        9            3            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
37 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-171130-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
316 PM EDT THU APR 16 2015

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           30           0            20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            2            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          58           77           60           81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  7        N  7         LGT/VAR      N  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  6        N  5         NW  3        E  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         0
INVERSION             2200         66/1000      2000         67/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        99           58           100          49
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4200                      4050
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     SE  3
VENTILATION RATE                   29400                     12150
ADI EARLY             30 FAIR      22 FAIR      10 POOR      12 POOR
ADI LATE              5 VERY POOR  30 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            9            6            10
MAX LVORI LATE        9            3            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-171130-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
316 PM EDT THU APR 16 2015

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           30           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            2            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          54           77           59           82
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  6        N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  4         N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            1
INVERSION             2200         64/1000      2000         66/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          51           99           44
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4900                      5470
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     SE  2
VENTILATION RATE                   24500                     10940
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      15 GEN POOR  12 POOR      8 POOR
ADI LATE              4 VERY POOR  25 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  11 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            9            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        9            3            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27



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