Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 170735
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
335 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY UP THE CAROLINA COAST
AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES PROGRESSIVELY OFFSHORE OF THE NORTHEAST
STATES THROUGH SATURDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE
AREA SUNDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT TO FOLLOW MONDAY NIGHT. DRY AND
SEASONABLE HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THROUGH MIDWEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT....MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-172345-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
335 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           20           30
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          77           61           81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  4        LGT/VAR      N  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  5         LGT/VAR      E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       1            0            0
INVERSION             69/1000      2000         71/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        56           96           46
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4250                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     NW  3
VENTILATION RATE      38250                     12300
ADI EARLY             21 FAIR      8 POOR       13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  30 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-172345-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
335 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           20           20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          77           60           81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        LGT/VAR      NE  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       1            0            0
INVERSION             66/1000      2000         71/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        54           97           46
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4870                      4640
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      N  3
VENTILATION RATE      14610                     13920
ADI EARLY             12 POOR      8 POOR       12 POOR
ADI LATE              13 GEN POOR  1 VERY POOR  16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-172345-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
335 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           20           20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          78           60           81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  5        LGT/VAR      N  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  5        LGT/VAR      E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       2            0            0
INVERSION             68/1000      2000         72/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        57           98           47
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4260                      4360
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     E  2
VENTILATION RATE      29820                     8720
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  9 POOR       10 POOR
ADI LATE              20 GEN POOR  2 VERY POOR  28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-172345-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
335 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           20           20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          77           60           82
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  5         LGT/VAR      NE  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       2            0            0
INVERSION             65/1000      2000         70/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        55           100          46
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4730                      4620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      NE  2
VENTILATION RATE      23650                     9240
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      10 POOR      11 POOR
ADI LATE              15 GEN POOR  1 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40


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