Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 171939
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
339 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL LINGER OFF THE CAROLINA COAST INTO
SATURDAY KEEPING THE WEATHER UNSETTLED. A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE LATER HALF OF THE
WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THEREAFTER AND THEN PERSIST FOR MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK...FINALLY BRINGING A PROLONGED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-181145-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
339 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           50           0            100
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            2            1            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          61           79           58           75
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  5         N  4         E  3         NE  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  3        NE  4        NE  3        E 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.65         0.14         0.00         0.17
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                         5
INVERSION             2000         67/0900      2000         69/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        96           53           98           57
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3780                      3310
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 10                      SE 26
VENTILATION RATE                   37800                     86060
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       10 POOR      24 FAIR      33 FAIR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  31 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  73 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            7            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        7            2            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR
100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-181145-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
339 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           70           0            100
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            3            1            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          60           79           59           74
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  4         N  3         E  3         E  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      NE  4        E  3         E 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.64         0.16         0.00         0.21
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                         9
INVERSION             2000         66/0900      2000         68/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        97           52           99           58
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4540                      3470
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  9                      SE 28
VENTILATION RATE                   40860                     97160
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       11 POOR      27 FAIR      30 FAIR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  33 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  73 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            8            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        7            2            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR
100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-181145-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
339 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           60           30           100
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            2            2            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          60           79           60           74
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  4         N  3         E  3         E  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      E  4         E  4         E 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.73         0.16         0.02         0.23
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            9
INVERSION             2000         67/0900      2000         70/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        98           55           99           63
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3570                      2450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 10                      SE 23
VENTILATION RATE                   35700                     56350
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       8 POOR       22 FAIR      28 FAIR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  30 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  57 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            8            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        8            3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-181145-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
339 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           70           20           100
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   1            3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          60           79           60           74
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  3         N  3         E  3         E  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  3        NE  3        E  3         E 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.74         0.18         0.02         0.26
PRECIP DURATION       2            9            3            10
INVERSION             2000         65/0900      2000         68/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        99           52           97           60
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4500                      2760
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  9                      SE 25
VENTILATION RATE                   40500                     69000
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      10 POOR      29 FAIR      26 FAIR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  37 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  63 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            9            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        8            2            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27


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