Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KLUB 270100 AAA
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
800 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

.UPDATE...
UPDATED THE FORECAST FOR THE EXPIRATION OF TORNADO WATCH 119.
DEEP CONVECTION HAS GRADUALLY SHIFTED INTO OUR NE COUNTIES AHEAD
OF A WELL-DEFINED UPPER IMPULSE STRETCHING FROM DALHART SE TO DFW.
PER WATER VAPOR DATA...TEMPORARY SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THIS WAVE
LOOKS TO BE REPLACED BY A RENEWED CONVEYOR OF ASCENT AHEAD OF
SPIRALING LOW PRESENTLY ATOP ABQ AT 8 PM. HI-RES MODELS FAVOR A
NEW AREA OF T-STORMS DEVELOPING LATER TONIGHT ACROSS OUR W-NW
COUNTIES AS THIS LOW TRANSLATES EAST AND SUBJECTS THESE AREAS TO A
HEALTHY DEFORMATION ZONE. MAY SEE SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN UNDER
THESE SLOW-MOVING STORMS ON THE CAPROCK...BUT GREATEST PWATS
AND SUBSEQUENT FLASH FLOODING THREAT REMAINS IN OUR NE COUNTIES.
NO OTHER UPDATES AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 640 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015/

AVIATION...
AT CDS...WE EXPECT MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS TO DOMINATE MOST OF THE
TAF PERIOD...EXCEPT FOR THE FIRST FEW HOURS. THERE WILL BE PERIODS
OF TSRA THIS EVENING THEN -RA THROUGH MUCH OF MONDAY.

AT KLBB AND KPVW...THERE IS A CHANCE OF CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED
WIND GUSTS THROUGH 01 OR 02 UTC. OTHERWISE...A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH LATER THIS EVENING...WITH MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR
CEILINGS BUILDING IN TONIGHT. THE LOW CEILINGS MAY LIFT TO VFR
SOMETIME MONDAY BUT CONFIDENCE WITH THE TIMING IS VERY LOW. THERE
WILL BE A CHANCE OF -TSRA AT BOTH TERMINALS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR TXZ024>026-031-032.

&&

$$

93


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.