Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 042328
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042327
TXZ000-NMZ000-050130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0505
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0627 PM CDT MON MAY 04 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN QUARTER OF NM INTO FAR W TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 128...

VALID 042327Z - 050130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 128
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES
ACROSS THE WW AREA.

DISCUSSION...LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS SELY FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF
THE WW AREA...WHICH CONTINUES ADVECTING 50S DEWPOINTS INTO THE
REGION.  WITH DIURNAL HEATING PUSHING MIXED-LAYER CAPE GENERALLY
INTO THE 500 TO 1000 J/KG RANGE...STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS
CONTINUE TO EVOLVE...MAINLY E OF A LINE FROM CHAVES/EDDY CO NM AND
CULBERSON CO TX EWD.

GREATEST RISK SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF THE WW...WHERE
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR REMAINS A BIT MORE ROBUST -- AIDED BY SLIGHTLY
STRONGER MID-LEVEL WLYS.  THE STRONGEST CELL WITHIN THIS REGION --
NOW CROSSING CULBERSON CO -- CONTINUES TO POSE A SHORT-TERM RISK FOR
HAIL NEAR GOLF-BALL SIZE...PER WSR-88D WDSS MESH.

..GOSS.. 05/04/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

LAT...LON   34440312 32090309 31930357 30920339 30590375 30600479
            31290585 32000629 33660635 34640508 34440312



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