Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 312132
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312132
ALZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-312230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0165
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0432 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...+PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MS AND FAR
EAST-CENTRAL AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 10...

VALID 312132Z - 312230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 10
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...LARGE HAIL TO BASEBALL SIZE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MS THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS. THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE EXTENDED ON THE SOUTHWEST
SIDE...INCLUDING YAZOO...HUMPHREYS AND SHARKEY COUNTIES.

DISCUSSION...LARGE HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH
STORMS ACROSS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 10. RADAR DATA INDICATED TWO
CELLS IN NORTHWESTERN MS...ONE IN COAHOMA AND ONE IN BOLIVAR
COUNTY...COULD BE PRODUCING HAIL BETWEEN 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES...AND
RECENT REPORTS INDICATE THAT GOLF BALL TO BASEBALL SIZE HAIL HAS IN
FACT OCCURRED WITH THESE CELLS OVER THE LAST 30 MINUTES. 21Z
MESOANALYSIS INDICATED THAT CINH INCREASES TO THE SOUTH WHERE SFC
DEWPOINTS ARE LOWER AND SHEAR DECREASES QUICKLY. HOWEVER...THE
SEVERE THREAT MAY EXTENDED OUTSIDE THE CURRENT WATCH AREA BY A FEW
COUNTIES ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE AND A LOCAL AERIAL EXTENSION WILL BE
MADE BY WFO JAN PER COLLABORATION. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE
FOR A FEW MORE HOURS AND SHOULD GRADUALLY WANE AS SUNSET OCCURS AND
BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING ENSUES.

..LEITMAN.. 03/31/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   34299107 34709104 34408827 32978830 32749009 32829118
            34299107



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