Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 270011
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270010
OKZ000-TXZ000-270115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0474
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0710 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...TX PANHANDLE...NORTHWEST TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN
OKLAHOMA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 119...

VALID 270010Z - 270115Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 119 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...PORTIONS OF TORNADO WATCH 119...MAINLY FROM NEAR
ABILENE/MINERAL WELLS SOUTHWARD...MAY NEED TO BE REPLACED WITH A NEW
WW BY 01Z.  OTHERWISE...THERE REMAINDER OF TORNADO WATCH 119...AS
WELL AS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 120 MAY NOT NEED NEW WATCH
ISSUANCES AT THE CURRENTLY SCHEDULED 01Z EXPIRATION.

DISCUSSION...STRONGEST 2 HOUR SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS HAVE BECOME
FOCUSED WEST OF THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH METROPLEX...AND MAY PROVIDE
THE FOCUS FOR THE MORE SUBSTANTIVE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  TO THE NORTHWEST OF THIS AREA...LARGE-SCALE
FORCING BENEATH DIFLUENT /AND LIKELY DIVERGENT/ UPPER FLOW TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES CLOSED LOW APPEARS TO BE
CONTRIBUTING TO SUFFICIENT CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING TO BEGIN REDUCING
THE OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL.  THE RISK FOR SEVERE HAIL MAY
PERSIST IN INCREASINGLY FEWER STRONGER STORMS ANOTHER COUPLE OF
HOURS ACROSS THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...ADJACENT NORTHWEST TEXAS
AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.  BUT...ANOTHER WATCH ACROSS THESE AREAS MAY
NOT BE NEEDED.

..KERR.. 04/27/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   33089981 33550046 34810126 35710169 35850114 35159863
            34609811 33689810 33099854 33089983 33089981



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