Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 042258
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042258
TXZ000-NMZ000-050100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0504
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0558 PM CDT MON MAY 04 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR W TX INTO THE TRANSPECOS REGION AND BIG BEND
AREA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 129...

VALID 042258Z - 050100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 129 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL/LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE REGION.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS SEVERE STORMS ACROSS MAINLY THE
NRN HALF OF THE WW...THOUGH SOME INCREASE IN CU/CB IS ALSO EVIDENT
NEAR THE BIG BEND.  THE STRONGEST CELLS -- A FEW OF WHICH CONTINUE
TO EXHIBIT ROTATION -- ARE CROSSING THE CULBERSON/REEVES CO
VICINITY...WITHIN THIS WW AND ADJACENT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
128.  EXPECT RISK TO CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS...AS SELY LOW-LEVEL
WINDS CONTINUE TO ADVECT RICHER MOISTURE NWWD INTO THIS REGION
BENEATH MODERATE MID-LEVEL WLYS.  WE WILL ALSO MONITOR AREAS JUST E
OF THE SERN CORNER OF THE WATCH...AS STORMS INCREASING WITHIN THE
WARM/MOIST/MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT INVOF THE BIG BEND COULD
CONSOLIDATE AND SHIFT EWD TOWARD CROCKETT/VAL VERDE COUNTIES -- BOTH
OF WHICH ARE NOT CURRENTLY INCLUDED IN THE WATCH.

..GOSS/EDWARDS.. 05/04/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON   29070359 30540374 32010428 32010246 30700175 29280055
            29720160 29680268 28940310 29070359



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