Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 030258 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
958 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2015

.UPDATE...
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT WITH
SLIGHTLY WARMER LOWS THAN TODAY EXPECTED BY SUNDAY MORNING. MADE
SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO INCREASE SKY COVER AND MINOR TWEAKS TO HOURLY
GRIDS TO SHOW CURRENT TRENDS. OTHERWISE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD.
UPDATES OUT SHORTLY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 640 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...
03/00Z TAF DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TAF PERIOD. HIGH
CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH
CONVECTION WELL WEST OF TERMINALS. WILL LEAVE MENTION OF -SHRA
OUT OF FORECAST BUT CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW SHOWERS LINGERING LONG
ENOUGH TO AFFECT NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA TERMINALS LATE THIS EVENING.
AFTER DIURNAL BACKING AND DECREASE OF WINDS MODERATE-STRONG
SOUTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED AGAIN TOMORROW.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 157 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SURFACE AND MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. A SLOW-MOVING UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH OKLAHOMA UNTIL
IT PASSES TUESDAY, BUT THE RESULTING UPPER FLOW FROM THE SOUTHWEST
WILL KEEP CONDITIONS MOIST THROUGH MID-WEEK. IN THE NEAR TERM
SUNNY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED SUNDAY. THE FIRST
SMALL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA EARLY MONDAY
AND BRING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN. THE MID-LEVEL MOIST AXIS WILL
MOVE FROM EASTERN NM AND THE TX PANHANDLE INTO OKLAHOMA MONDAY
NIGHT OR TUESDAY. THE STRONGEST SYNOPTIC-SCALE LIFT MAY COME
TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY WHEN WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO
RESULT OVER MUCH OF OKLAHOMA. IT APPEARS THAT THE DRYLINE WILL NOT
BE MUCH OF A PLAYER NEXT WEEK, BUT WEAK WAVES IN THE MOIST AIRMASS
WILL GIVE A CHANCE FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REST OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  60  81  61  78 /   0   0  10  10
HOBART OK         59  82  61  78 /  10   0  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  60  82  61  81 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           60  85  59  79 /  10  10  20  30
PONCA CITY OK     62  84  61  81 /   0   0  10  20
DURANT OK         58  80  60  79 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/11



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