Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 011126
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
626 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH 12Z
SATURDAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. A SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND WILL
PREVAIL...MAINLY UNDER 10 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 407 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAY RESULT IN PATCHY GROUND FOG THROUGH 8 AM.
OTHERWISE...ANOTHER WARM AND NICE DAY IS EXPECTED.

A MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER NEW MEXICO AND ARIZONA
WILL GRADUALLY FLATTEN AND SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS
WILL KEEP THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW ALOFT.
BY SATURDAY...SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE....AS A FAST MOVING
SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN STATES. ON SUNDAY...A WEAK FRONT
WILL APPROACH NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATE IN THE DAY. MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL REMAIN NORTH OF
OKLAHOMA.

AFTER SEVERAL DAYS OF WARM AND DRY WEATHER...RAIN AND STORM
CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.  THE BEST CHANCE FOR
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS A
NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS. A RELATIVELY MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THIS COMBINED WITH WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW
MAY RESULT IN ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  79  55  80  59 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         80  53  81  57 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  80  54  81  58 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           80  54  83  57 /   0   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     79  55  82  60 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         79  54  80  58 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



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