Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 021743
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1243 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL 031800.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1034 AM CDT SAT MAY 2 2015/

UPDATE...
ADJUSTED SKY GRIDS SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE NE. PLEASE SEE THE
DISCUSSION BELOW.

DISCUSSION...
SPRINKLES/LIGHT SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH HAVE DISSIPATED OVER THE NE LATE THIS MORNING.
HOWEVER...SOME ALTOSTRATUS REMAINS PRESENT OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AND NE OK. THIS CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH
THE REMAINING HOURS OF THE MORNING. SKY COVER HAS BEEN ADJUSTED
ACCORDINGLY THROUGH ~18Z. NO OTHER SIGNFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE TO
THE FORECAST.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 645 AM CDT SAT MAY 2 2015/

AVIATION...
A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS...ASSOCIATED WITH MID-LEVEL CLOUDS IN
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE/MOVE EAST THIS
MORNING. BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...EARLY EVENING. CLOUDS SHOULD INCREASE AGAIN FROM THE
WEST THIS EVENING WITH VFR CONDITIONS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 328 AM CDT SAT MAY 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MID TO HIGH CLOUDS...MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH CONVECTION OVER
THE HIGH PLAINS AND ROCKIES YESTERDAY...WILL CONTINUE TO
DRIFT SOUTHWARD ACROSS OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. CLOUDS WILL THIN
THIS MORNING/AFTERNOON BUT ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL FORM TO
OUR WEST THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY MOVE INTO
FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...BUT
CHANCES ARE LOW.

AFTER SEVERAL DAYS OF LIGHT WINDS...SOUTH WINDS WILL BECOME
BREEZY BY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA.

WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATE
SUNDAY...AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS
A TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN US. AS THIS SYSTEM EJECTS
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES AND CENTRAL PLAINS LATE TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
MUCH OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY FORM NEAR A DRYLINE
IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA/EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. INSTABILITY AND
SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS. A SIMILAR SETUP WILL BE POSSIBLE
FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL REMAIN IN AN
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  60  81  61  78 /   0   0  10  10
HOBART OK         59  82  61  78 /   0   0  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  60  82  61  81 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           60  85  59  79 /  10  10  20  30
PONCA CITY OK     62  84  61  81 /   0   0  10  20
DURANT OK         58  80  60  79 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/09/09


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