Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 271537
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1037 AM CDT MON APR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
HEAVY RAIN WITH THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
PART OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS IS GRADUALLY MOVING TO THE EAST
THIS MORNING. EXPECT RAIN WITH SOME STORMS TO GRADUALLY MOVE
INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

STILL ENOUGH OF A RISK FOR STORMS TO PRODUCE A QUICK 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH THE DAY...SO WILL KEEP THE FLOOD WATCH IN
EFFECT THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. BEST CHANCE FOR MAIN STEM
FLOODING WILL BE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 309 AM CDT MON APR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FIRST ROUND OF RAIN MOVED THROUGH LAST EVENING WITH SOME ISOLATED
HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.
MUCH OF SOUTHWEST REMAINED RAIN FREE OVERNIGHT... BUT MOST OF THE
MODELS ARE INSISTENT THAT A COUPLE MORE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
ARE IN THE CARDS FOR MUCH OF WESTERN INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TODAY
INTO TONIGHT.

AS UPPER LOW REMAINS WELL WEST OF THE AREA AND WILL MAKE ONLY
SLOW PROGRESS EAST WILL MAINTAIN THE HIGHER PRECIP CHANCES INTO
TONIGHT... ALTHOUGH OVERALL AMOUNTS HAVE COME DOWN INTO THE 2 TO 3
INCH RANGE. WILL MAINTAIN FLASH FLOOD WATCH AS AREA OF CONCERN
REMAINS THE SAME. WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN AND CLOUDY SKIES... EXPECT
A COOL DAY TODAY WITH MANY LOCATIONS NOT MAKING IT OUT OF THE 50S
WITH A BRISK NORTH/NORTHEAST WIND. SOME 30S MAY BE POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA.

SOME LINGERING SHOWERS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY BEFORE
UPPER LOW MOVES EAST OF THE AREA. UPPER RIDGING THEN TAKES OVER
AND DOMINATES THE WEATHER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH
MILD/DRY CONDITIONS. THIS RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN AS WE GET
INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH RAIN CHANCES RETURNING THE AREA BY SUNDAY
AND MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  57  47  64  45 / 100  70  30  10
HOBART OK         59  44  64  43 /  80  60  20  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  63  47  63  44 /  70  60  30  10
GAGE OK           52  39  65  41 / 100  60  20   0
PONCA CITY OK     59  44  67  45 /  80  70  20  10
DURANT OK         62  49  61  45 /  90  70  40  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ004-009>011-
     014>019-021>025-027>031-033>042-044-046.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ083>086.

&&

$$



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