Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 230439
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1139 PM CDT WED APR 22 2015

.UPDATE...
ADJUSTED PRECIP/WX...

&&

.DISCUSSION...
INCREASED POPS TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT TREND. A DECENT BAND OF
THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED ALONG A NARROW BOUNDARY OF LL
CONVERGENCE... WHICH APPEARS TO BE DRIVEN BY THE SOUTHWARD
ADVANCEMENT OF THE SFC HIGH OFF THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS AND THE
SFC TROUGH EXTENDING EASTWARD FROM WEST TEXAS. LITTLE SUPPORT FROM
THE LLJ IS EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT... SO DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY OF
THESE STORMS BECOMING SEVERE. WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR POTENTIAL
HYDRO ISSUES... BUT THE LINE APPEARS TO BE MOVING AT A DECENT S/SE
CLIP... BRINING A DECENT AND BENEFICIAL RAIN TO TEXOMA.

JTK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 914 PM CDT WED APR 22 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM SEEMS TO BE EVOLVING INTO A COMPLEX AND
MOVING INTO PART OF NORTHERN TEXAS TO THE SOUTH OF SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA. THIS AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST-
SOUTHEAST NEAR THE OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WITH UPSLOPE SOUTHEAST
SURFACE WINDS PERSISTING. SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS POSSIBLE ALONG
WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND A LOW TORNADO POTENTIAL. THIS COMPLEX
WILL LIKELY MOVE SOUTH AND EAST OF THIS AREA BY AROUND MIDNIGHT
WITH LINGERING SHOWERS AND RAIN. POPS HAVE BEEN INCREASED IN
NORTHERN TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  54  66  60  82 /  30  30  30  20
HOBART OK         54  68  60  85 /  50  20  20  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  60  76  63  86 /  80  20  30  20
GAGE OK           48  62  53  82 /  30  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     50  65  54  80 /  20  20  30  40
DURANT OK         62  70  64  81 /  60  40  50  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$


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