Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 220449
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1149 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

.DISCUSSION...
THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

&&

.AVIATION...
ISOLATED TSRA ARE POPPING UP...AND OFTEN DISSIPATING SOON
AFTER...TO THE W AND N OF OK AS OF 22/0445Z. A FEW TSRA ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT W-CENTRAL AND CENTRAL OK BY SUNRISE.
MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE S FROM KS INTO CENTRAL OK BY
MID-MORNING ON WEDNESDAY. EXPECT GRADUALLY WORSENING CEILINGS IN
GENERAL THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE NIGHT. ADDITIONAL TSRA WILL
BE POSSIBLE AT MOST SITES TOMORROW AFTERNOON...EVENING...AND
OVERNIGHT...BUT CHANCES AT ANY GIVEN TAF SITE ARE TOO LOW TO
MENTION AT THIS POINT. JUST BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS
FORECAST...WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS...OR VERY LOW MVFR
CONDITIONS...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP...AND PROBABLY WILL LAST
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

CMS
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 932 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015/

DISCUSSION...
RAIN CHANCES WERE INCREASED IN THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD BASED ON
OBSERVATIONS OF SHOWERS IN THE PANHANDLES AND MODELS` FORECASTS.
THIS AREA IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND WITH THE APPROACH OF A WEAK UPPER
WAVE, MID-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION, AND A FRONT MOVING SOUTH FROM
KANSAS. THERE IS ONLY A SMALL CHANCE FOR LARGE HAIL. LIKELY POPS
REMAIN FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE MORNING IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA. NO OTHER CHANGES WERE MADE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  54  69  55  71 /  30  60  40  30
HOBART OK         53  72  55  72 /  50  60  40  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  56  77  59  78 /  20  40  50  30
GAGE OK           49  63  46  67 /  60  40  30  20
PONCA CITY OK     48  64  46  67 /  30  30  20  20
DURANT OK         55  76  61  75 /  20  60  60  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/23/23


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