Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 160403
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1103 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS...THINKING HAS CHANGED LITTLE WITH REGARD TO THE
FORECAST. EXPECT LINGERING TSRA/SHRA TO PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS IN THE VICINITY OF KGAG/KWWR. AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
RISES...AND TEMPERATURES COOL...WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR CIGS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP...ALONG WITH SOME PATCHY FOG ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...INTO NORTH TEXAS. VFR
CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN BY AROUND 18Z THURS...WITH BREEZY SOUTH
WINDS. SCT TSRA WILL THEN DEVELOP IN THE 20Z TO 21Z TIMEFRAME OVER
THE TX PANHANDLE...AND SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. WILL INTRODUCE PROB30S AND TEMPO GROUPS FOR THUNDER IN THE
22Z THURS TO 06Z FRI WINDOW.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 908 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015/

UPDATE...
NUDGED POPS SLIGHTLY DOWNWARD FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING AND
ADJUSTED SKY GRIDS A BIT. PLEASE SEE THE DISCUSSION BELOW.

DISCUSSION...
ONE STORM CONTINUES TO LINGER AND MOVE NE ACROSS NW OK THIS
EVENING OVER SW HARPER COUNTY. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH DEVELOPMENT
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE DRYLINE RETREATS WESTWARD...ALTHOUGH
SOME STORMS MAY TRY TO MOVE INTO NW OK THROUGH ABOUT 08Z AS A MID
LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTS OVER THE EXTREME WESTERN PANHANDLES.
ONLY MINOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST. SKY GRIDS WERE
INCREASED A BIT FOR THIS EVENING OUT WEST...AND STORM COVERAGE WAS
DECREASED TO ISOLATED AFTER 06Z. ALL UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN
SENT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  57  77  59  74 /  10  30  60  60
HOBART OK         56  75  57  74 /  20  50  60  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  59  76  59  76 /  10  50  60  50
GAGE OK           55  74  53  72 /  30  70  70  50
PONCA CITY OK     56  77  58  74 /  10  30  60  60
DURANT OK         55  78  61  77 /   0  40  50  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/84



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