Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 220945
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
544 AM EDT WED APR 22 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 22/1200 UTC THRU APR 25/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


MADE ONLY VERY MINOR CHANGES TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF BASED ON THE
00Z ECMWF HIRES..06Z GFS AND RECENT RADAR
IMAGERY AND TRENDS.

DAY 1...

...NEW ENGLAND SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES/UPPER OH
VALLEY...

H5 S/WV ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS ROTATING AROUND THE QUASI-STATIONARY
GREAT LAKES CLOSED H5 LOW WILL PUSH A SECONDARY COLD FRONT THRU
THE UPPER OH VALLEY..MID ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES THIS
PREIOD..WITH THE LATEST MODEL MASS FIELD FORECASTS IN VERY GOOD
AGREEMENT ON THIS.  MOISTURE/PW VALUES ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS
SECONDARY FRONT WILL BE MUCH LESS THAN ALONG THE LEADING FRONT
THAT MOVED WELL OFFSHORE OF THE EAST COAST ON TUESDAY.  AS A
RESULT..RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE SHOULD BE
MAINLY ON THE LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE SIDE..WITH ANY GREATER
THAN 0.50 INCH TOTALS MOST LIKELY CONFINED TO PORTIONS OF THE NEW
ENGLAND STATES ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG H5 S/WV THAT NEARLY
CLOSES OFF THIS REGION LATE IN THE PERIOD.  STUCK CLOSE TO
REASONABLY CLOSE MODEL QPF SOLUTIONS.


...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FL...

AN AXIS OF HIGH PWS..AT OR ABOVE 1.75 INCHES..WILL PERSIST ACROSS
CENTRAL AND ESPECIALLY SOUTHERN FL THIS PERIOD..VICINITY OF A
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH WILL BE
WEAKENING/DISSIPATING LATER TODAY.  MODEL QPFS HAVE COME INTO
SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT ON FORECASTING SOME MODERATE TO LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS WITHIN THIS HIGH PWS AXIS AND VICINITY OF THE
WEAKENING SURFACE BOUNDARY..FOCUSED MORE ON THE SOUTHEAST COAST
WHERE CONVECTION MAY ORGANIZE LATER THIS MORNING/AFTERNOON IN THE
LOW LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THIS REGION.  WENT WITH THIS
IDEA..WITH MANUAL QPF INDICATING SOME 0.50-1.00 INCH RAINALL
AMOUNTS OVER SOUTHEASTERN FL.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY...

CONFIDENCE IN THE QPF NOT VERY HIGH HERE..WITH THE MODELS AGAIN
SHOWING RATHER POOR RUN-TO-RUN CONTINUITY AND ALSO HAVING RATHER
SIGNIFICANT QPF DIFFERENCES ON THIS LATEST 00Z RUN.  THE WESTERN
PORTION OF THE FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE EAST TODAY WILL BE
PRESSING SOUTHWARD FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY..BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.  A MORE FAVORABLE SOUTHERLY H85 INFLOW WILL DEVELOP INTO
THIS BOUNDARY THIS PERIOD..BRINGING IN HIGHER MOISTURE FROM THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO.  IN ADDITION TO A FOCUSING SURFACE
BOUNDARY AND INCREASING MOISTURE..SOUTHERN BRANCH H5 S/WV ENERGY
WILL BE MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND PARTS OF THE LOWER MS
VALLEY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.  THE COMBINATION OF ALL OF
THIS SHOULD BE AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.  DAY 1 QPF AXIS AGAIN LEANED TOWARD THE
HI RES ENSEMBLE MEANS---WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
TOTALS IN AN AXIS FROM THE RED RIVER TOWARDS THE ARKLATEX.
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS ALSO EXPECTED TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
OF THIS AXIS..IN AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS CENTRAL
TO EASTERN TX TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY..WHERE IMPULSES IN THE
SUBTROPICAL STREAM MAY AID IN THE LIFT.


...WESTERN STATES...

THE QUASI-STATIONARY/SLOW MOVING CLOSED LOW OVER SOUTHERN CA
SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SCATTERED CONVECTION FROM THE SIERRA
INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN..WHILE A PROGRESSIVE NORTHERN STREAM
H5 TROF MOVING FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THRU THE NORTHERN GREAT
BASIN AND INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES HELPS TO TRIGGER SCATTERED
CONVECTON THRU THESE REGIONS.  MODEST MOISTURE VALUES/PWS SHOULD
KEEP AREAL AVERAGE RAINFALL TOTALS ON THE LIGHT TO LOCALLY
MODERATE SIDE THRUOUT THE ENTIRE WEST..GENERALLY IN THE 0.25-0.50
INCH RANGE.


DAYS 2/3...

...PLAINS/LOWER-MIDDLE MS VALLEY/SOUTHEAST/SRN APPALACHIANS/TN
VALLEY...

THE AMPLIFIED PATTERN IS CONDUCIVE FOR SURGES IN
PRECIPITATION...PARTICULARLY CONVECTION ON DAY 3...AS FAVORABLE
LAPSE RATES DEVELOP AND MOISTURE INCREASES ACROSS EASTERN TX AND
THEN DOWNSTREAM INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST. STRONG
850-700 MB MOISTURE FLUXES AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 2
INCHES IN THE AXIS OF THE 850-700 MB JET LEAD TO POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS.  THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA WITH REPEATING
ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED IS ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS INTO
NORTHERN LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MS AND AL WITH STRONG 850-700 MB
THETA-E ADVECTION AND CONVERGENCE DEVELOPING AND WELL DEFINED 300
MB DIVERGENCE MAXIMA CROSSING THE REGION.

FFG VALUES AREA INITIALLY QUITE HIGH...BUT WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ON DAY 3 WHEN THE HIGHEST TOTALS ARE
EXPECTED... A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS SHOWN AGAIN FOR
DAY 3.  MANUAL PROGS USED AN ENSEMBLE MEAN AND DETERMINISTIC
CONSENSUS APPROACH TO ADDRESS THE UNCERTAINTIES...WITH THE LEAST
WEIGHT APPLIED TO THE GFS AND ITS HIGH BIAS DUE TO CONVECTIVE/GRID
SCALE FEEDBACK IN MS.
THE FORECAST GAVE MORE WEIGHTING TO THE 18-00Z GEFS MEAN AS ITS
AMOUNTS ARE CLOSER TO THE MODEL MAJORITY.

FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO  MID MS VALLEY...THE
MODELS SHOW AN AMPLIFYING MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION.  THE ECMWF/GFS/UKMET SHOW A CLOSED 850-700 MB LOW
DEVELOPING WITHIN THE TROUGH.  AHEAD OF THE CIRCULATION...CLUSTERS
OF 850-700 MB CONVERGENCE AND ISENTROPIC LIFT OVER THE WARM FRONT
RESULT IN SHOWERS CLUSTERING OVER MO AND ADJACENT SOUTHERN IOWA IN
A BAND OF MID LEVEL DEFORMATION AND ASSOCIATED FRONTOGENESIS.  THE
MODELS HAVE BETTER THAN AVERAGE AGREEMENT ON THE LOCATION OF THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH THE 00Z UKMET FURTHER NORTH THAN
THE 00Z GFS/NAM/12Z ECMWF.  THE 12Z UKMET AGREED BETTER WITH THE
MAJORITY CLUSTER AND THUS THE 00Z RUN OF THE UKMET WAS GIVEN LESS
WEIGHT IN THE QPF.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/CA/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES...

PRIMARILY SCATTERED WEAK CONVECTION WITHIN REGIONS OF STRATIFORM
PRECIPITATION WILL PREVAIL ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND IN THE
PROXIMITY OF DIFLUENT FLOW ALOFT THU AND FRIDAY AS FAVORABLE MID
LEVEL MOISTURE AND LAPSE RATES ACCOMPANY THE MEAN LONGWAVE TROUGH
CROSSING THE WEST.  CURRENT GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO DISPLAY
APPRECIABLE SPREAD CONSISTENT WITH THE MESOSCALE NATURE OF THE
PRECIPITATION.   EMPHASIZED THE TERRAIN...PARTICULARLY THE
WINDWARD SLOPES...AS WELL AS HIGHLIGHTING THE MODEL CONSENSUS FOR
AREAS OF ASCENT.  THE RESULT IS FOR MANY SMALL AREAS WITH
BASIN-AVERAGE VALUES OF 0.1 TO 0.25 INCHES OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT
NEAR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS FOR DAYS 2 AND 3...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS
OF 0.5-0.7 INCHES FOR THE CA SIERRA NEVADA AND OLYMPICS OF WA
STATE WHERE BETTER DEFINED 700 MB CONVERGENCE MAXIMA/300 MB
DIVERGENCE MAXIMA OVERLAP WITH UPSLOPE CONDITION FOR LIFT AND
PRECIPITATION.

...FLORIDA...

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA HAVE THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR RAINFALL
DAY 2 AS MID LEVEL WEST NORTHWEST FLOW PERSISTS ABOVE A RESIDUAL
FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION.  EXPECT SEA BREEZE AND
LAKE BREEZES OTHER ZONES OF DIFFERENTIAL HEATING TO ALSO
CONTRIBUTE AS A LIFTING MECHANISM FOR CONVECTION.  USED THE 00Z
GFS/21-03Z SREF MEAN TO DERIVE THE QPF VALUES...WITH AN AXIS CLOSE
TO THE 00Z GFS.  THE AMOUNTS ARE IN BETWEEN THE LIGHTER NAM/ECMWF
AND HEAVIER UKMET/CANADIAN GLOBAL MODELS.

...NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...

THE MODELS FCST A CLOSED LOW TO DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE
REGION...WITH PRECIP MOVING INTO THE ADJACENT CANADIAN PROVINCES
IN RESPONSE TO MID LEVEL DEFORMATION/UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE MOVING
NORTH OUT OF NEW ENGLAND.   MANUAL PROGS USED A SOLUTION BLENDING
THE 00Z NAM/12-00Z ECMWF/00Z GEFS MEAN TO DERIVE THE LIQUID
EQUIVALENT AMOUNTS.  REFER TO THE WINTER WEATHER DESK SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS/PROBABILITIES FOR MORE INFORMATION ON SNOWFALL POTENTIAL.

TERRY/PETERSEN

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 551148 551140 550134 545123 538115 531108 525102 517097
      510091 501086 493081 489079 483078 475076 468077 465080
      458086 454087 452088 451090 443092 440088 438091 434090
      431087 426089 426092 429097 433100 441107 445128 444135
      445140 439139 437144 436150 437158 440161 443164 446170
      445174 442180 441184 443188 447190 450193 456186 460183
      465184 470177 474174 479174 487180 495187 499196 500202
      497206 493208 488207 482205 476204 474207 473214 476220
      480223 483225 488228 493232 496236 499240 501245 500248
      497249 495249 493243 491239 488242 483242 478241 476243
      470251 463261 459262 455266 443277 432295 430302 430307
      438315 444317 448316 458315 465314 474311 481309 485308
      489305 502293 509284 515276 518273 521268 521264 521260
      519254 514247 512242 513234 519228 524225 527222 533214
      536210 538200 540187 541179 540172 542167 543159 541146
      541143 543147 548150 551148
 0.01 527878 527873 526870 524864 518852 508844 504841 499839
      489835 482836 479837 478839 475846 477852 484862 491867
      493870 494875 491878 488879 481879 475875 472870 470862
      467848 463835 457801 463772 465754 466750 468747 474746
      479749 482752 485758 488762 492765 494764 495761 498755
      497745 496737 497731 498724 497714 495709 490704 487697
      485688 480676 478670 475664 468655 459647 451642 442637
      434637 427639 414644 404649 397656 389666 384676 381681
      380687 381697 386699 389698 389702 391711 394715 397717
      399717 404718 404722 402723 395729 386739 380748 368768
      365775 362781 360787 359794 357807 357812 354819 352824
      353827 351831 352848 354855 355862 356870 357870 359865
      361863 364863 368858 372858 376859 382859 386847 391839
      397827 403818 407813 411815 414817 416818 416821 417823
      420823 424824 427829 432846 433859 438866 443870 448872
      452877 455881 457888 456894 456900 458903 458908 460910
      464913 467913 468909 469907 473905 477905 479902 483898
      489897 494899 501899 503898 504895 505888 510886 516885
      523881 527878
 0.01 504132 504129 501127 498125 495126 490125 485124 480124
      476125 473126 472129 474131 478129 483129 488131 493132
      498133 502134 504132
 0.01 422167 424161 424153 422149 422143 421138 418137 412143
      409144 404143 400141 396142 394150 393156 391161 376152
      371151 368153 366156 367160 368163 372166 380172 380176
      378178 375180 370180 352181 349183 347180 344170 343166
      339166 329165 333170 336176 339179 340184 342195 344199
      347201 351195 353192 358191 366196 379205 394216 401219
      404218 407218 408215 407210 405206 404200 405193 407188
      409185 414179 419171 422167
 0.01 425122 425118 422116 419116 418114 417110 414092 413082
      414070 414059 413052 411049 409052 404053 402050 401044
      401039 400036 396036 392036 389038 385044 381051 378052
      374051 372049 371043 372037 371032 368032 366033 361038
      361049 357057 358060 358065 359068 362070 366071 369073
      374080 378086 378096 382094 388089 390093 393094 394097
      393101 389107 384114 381120 381126 388124 396123 403122
      411122 421124 425122
 0.01 364003 364969 365956 365947 364941 353916 350888 349880
      347873 346864 344857 342852 340849 336854 336860 334874
      331887 326899 322902 319902 313900 309896 301888 294880
      289878 285881 283884 281891 280898 280906 281912 281917
      281925 282931 283938 285944 286948 284950 283953 279953
      273953 268956 263965 262971 263978 265985 268989 275997
      282003 288004 294002 295995 297994 308995 315995 320997
      331999 335997 337000 340005 346014 350018 356018 362012
      364003
 0.01 276807 276796 274788 272785 270782 263780 256781 250785
      246791 244798 243807 245813 249819 254824 257830 259838
      265852 268850 270847 272841 275824 276807
 0.25 534163 534159 533155 533152 531149 529146 528144 526142
      525142 524145 526149 527153 528156 530159 531162 532163
      534163
 0.25 526196 527190 528186 526177 524171 521167 517170 513173
      510175 509177 511184 514189 518194 522198 526198 526196
 0.25 495107 493106 491106 491107 493109 495107
 0.25 478709 477697 473686 465672 462669 459667 454668 453672
      455677 457679 459682 457685 455688 451690 448694 446699
      442704 435710 424722 419727 414734 410741 409753 404769
      402778 397786 389799 389805 390811 394809 397806 406794
      413777 422765 427758 429754 432751 439745 444740 449734
      452730 456729 463725 469721 476715 478709
 0.25 481090 481089 479087 478086 476086 474086 474088 474091
      476093 477093 479093 480092 481091 481090
 0.25 472106 472103 472101 471101 472098 470097 470098 468099
      467100 467101 465102 465103 464104 463107 463109 464111
      466111 468110 469109 471108 471107 472106
 0.25 418156 418154 417151 416153 415156 416158 418156
 0.25 409105 409104 408103 408101 407103 407105 406107 407109
      409108 409107 409105
 0.25 394207 392204 389199 387196 385193 382190 376189 371187
      368190 370193 373196 377199 380201 385205 388206 393207
      394207
 0.25 401744 400740 396742 395744 393747 392750 391753 391755
      391758 394757 396755 398752 399749 400746 401744
 0.25 359996 360983 360969 359957 358947 354939 352934 351930
      348920 344912 340897 338896 335897 334900 330908 325914
      320916 317915 311909 307908 303909 301913 297915 290918
      288923 288929 290936 292939 297940 303941 305943 308952
      309956 307960 294956 291959 289962 288970 292980 294983
      299984 306979 314979 318979 324978 325973 323970 321967
      323966 328972 334977 338980 340984 349996 352000 356002
      359996
 0.25 354954 354952 354949 352948 351949 351952 351954 351956
      351958 352959 352958 353956 354954 354954
 0.25 267804 267798 266794 262791 258791 255793 253796 252802
      252806 253810 255814 259817 264816 266812 267806 267804
 0.50 471701 470696 466698 463700 460701 457702 455703 455708
      457709 459711 461712 465711 468709 469706 470704 471701
 0.50 448714 447711 444711 441713 440716 437722 433725 428729
      424734 423738 428735 434732 439729 442725 445720 448714
 0.50 350980 347971 344963 342956 341950 340942 337932 337921
      338911 336907 332911 329916 326920 320924 313926 311931
      312938 317951 322956 328961 333967 338973 345981 349985
      350980
 0.50 298975 298973 297971 297970 297968 296966 296965 294965
      293966 293968 293970 294972 294973 294975 295976 297976
      298975
 0.50 264805 264802 264800 263798 262797 262796 260795 258795
      257796 256797 256799 255801 255803 255805 256807 256808
      257809 258810 260810 261809 262808 263807 263805 264805
 1.00 331936 329932 325932 322934 323941 323943 328950 332950
      333945 331936

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 459624 483618 490620 493626 495632 500646 504661 504674
      502680 502687 498747 498757 496763 489772 482777 476778
      471778 460775 456774 451771 443767 437769 435773 425796
      423799 419798 414797 410793 409785 409776 411762 415738
      416732 418725 420720 422720 424724 425727 424734 423737
      424739 427743 428746 432746 434744 435738 433734 433730
      434723 437712 439707 438700 436693 435683 439673 440668
      440664 439661 437656 433650 429643 428641 427635
 0.01 539208 540199 540195 539191 536184 535181 535175 535141
      535131 535124 535108 535099 534093 532082 527069 522054
      517043 514040 511035 505028 501023 500021 501019 504015
      508012 511008 512001 510995 510986 499978 492972 484966
      477960 472958 468955 452947 427942 402942 396942 392942
      391940 385932 373918 369916 362914 358899 354888 349877
      344869 341864 337862 329859 326857 326855 324849 320837
      317820 313809 307799 297781 292772 287766 282764 276763
      270765 266766 263764 260762 255760 250759 246762 243766
      242770 241774 244779 246784 247788 242796 237805 234812
      235819 241825 249831 258835 258849 260876 261882 263890
      265896 269902 275910 281917 293929 298931 303935 308942
      311946 309948 305949 301954 298959 294962 289964 281968
      262976 244983 237985 231989 230011 236014 240016 246016
      250016 253018 255021 259023 269033 272037 279039 283039
      286041 295040 301038 310037 313037 315035 321030 325026
      330021 339007 340004 344002 350008 355013 359018 358038
      350055 346061 341065 336069 332073 328079 323084 319091
      319094 319100 320108 320113 322116 329127 331129 335131
      339137 341144 341151 338155 334160 329161 325160 320160
      318161 315165 320170 325175 328177 330182 332191 336192
      337194 340197 345198 348197 352198 361201 373207 381210
      388215 399225 404229 407229 409227 413220 414216 413212
      413208 410204 401200 399198 399195 403188 405185 409185
      413181 416181 417178 422169 422161 421156 418153 422135
      424129 427128 431129 434131 436138 439140 442141 448141
      452138 458145
 0.01 458145 461148 466147 471135 471130 470126 470122 468120
      463119 462112 464107 466105 469102 471095 473094 476095
      480097 487104 490109 489113 487116 481122 480125 479128
      479135 482138 486137 488137 490140 492147 484151 480154
      474154 472156 473161 480170 482175 484181 483188 481195
      479201 476204 466208 457209 448211 440214 438216 438220
      440227 443230 445231 445235 446246 453255 453262 456269
      461271 465270 468270 473274 479280 490286 501291 505290
      508287 511284 514280 520268 521260 522256 524251 527239
      532230 536218 537211 539208
 0.01 464082 463080 463079 461077 461074 460072 460069 459067
      458069 458071 457074 458076 460079 461081 462082 463083
      464082
 0.01 429987 428986 426985 424987 426989 427989 429987
 0.01 415132 415130 414128 414127 412126 411126 409125 407125
      406126 405128 407130 408131 410133 411135 413134 415132
 0.01 399136 399134 399132 400129 398128 396127 395127 393126
      391126 389126 388127 388130 387132 388134 389134 390136
      392137 393137 395139 397138 399136
 0.01 403083 401076 400074 397072 390080 384084 382088 371091
      367096 363101 360105 357111 357116 360117 365117 369117
      372116 376113 386108 393100 398096 401090 403083
 0.01 341762 341753 339746 337742 333741 324745 318754 315764
      315777 316785 318789 324792 330790 333787 336782 338777
      340771 341766 341762
 0.25 525219 523218 522217 520217 519217 520218 521219 523219
      525219 525219
 0.25 510259 511252 510247 506239 499223 492217 486213 482211
      479211 476213 476219 479226 472226 468228 465231 462240
      463246 465250 471256 489261 493264 495268 497277 499282
      501283 502272 507265 510259
 0.25 511186 512178 511173 511165 509164 506162 503160 500160
      498167 497172 496179 496184 498190 503189 507189 510188
      511186
 0.25 492684 491668 488657 488651 486645 484641 480640 473647
      471648 470645 468646 460651 458654 457660 459687 456697
      450704 448708 446713 448720 450724 456729 464732 468732
      473732 477729 480726 486719 489711 491699 492687 492684
 0.25 391204 391197 387191 384188 377185 372182 365181 360183
      359188 360190 365194 370197 375201 379204 386207 391204
 0.25 404016 404014 404012 402011 402012 401014 402016 402017
      404017 404016
 0.25 402023 402022 401021 400020 399021 398021 397023 396025
      396027 396030 398028 400026 400025 402024 402023
 0.25 363965 364960 363954 359944 356938 353930 337906 333899
      327894 322888 319881 312848 309838 305829 303821 300813
      295807 289806 280796 274792 270791 265792 259795 256798
      254802 256809 259815 269825 273831 275836 275841 274849
      272857 271865 272872 274881 277888 286902 290907 296912
      306918 311919 316918 320918 323919 329924 332936 333939
      332943 328950 318959 313962 309969 305975 299981 293985
      286988 278989 273989 267990 263996 261005 267005 271007
      277011 283016 288019 293021 301018 305014 315000 320997
      328995 342991 349989 355985 358980 359974 363965
 0.50 497255 496249 494246 490242 487240 482239 479239 475240
      471241 472246 475249 480251 485252 490254 495256 497255
 0.50 486699 485691 484684 483678 480673 476667 470660 469662
      470668 472683 474690 471696 466702 468709 470712 478708
      483705 485702 486699
 0.50 379194 378192 378191 376190 376189 375188 373187 371187
      370188 370190 371191 372192 373193 374194 375195 377196
      379195 379194
 0.50 348969 349963 348958 345956 339957 332959 326962 321967
      317973 316979 318981 324984 333985 341982 345978 348970
      348969
 0.50 311896 311888 311881 309869 306856 302846 297836 293826
      290821 287817 280813 278807 275803 271801 267804 266806
      267810 269815 275822 280831 285839 283851 282862 283874
      283879 286883 291893 297900 302903 305903 310901 311896
 0.50 297002 297000 295000 293002 292004 291006 292008 293008
      295007 295006 296004 297003 297002


24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 545169 547154 546141 543130 540125 537122 527118 519116
      514116 510118 508122 506127 505134 503139 497145 493147
      491144 483138 474133 472132 472129 476126 482119 484115
      486111 488107 491105 496097 499087 507082 509076 509072
      507066 507058 507050 505044 501043 497041 486040 480042
      472048 465054 459060 456063 453063 451061 447054 456054
      460048 462043 463036 463028 462023 458011 457005 460004
      462004 468005 472007 483008 489008 495010 497008 499002
      503991 504985 502983 502979 502967 502953 501948 499942
      496935 494926 489919 481915 467905 463902 460898 453889
      447882 444878 441875 418848 412844 406838 400832 394826
      390822 387820 381814 369802 361794 354789 347783 344779
      339777 332774 328774 323772 319771 314772 310775 306776
      300783 297792 298804 297813 298825 299829 300835 302840
      302846 300857 300863 297868 295872 290874 286875 285882
      283894 282900 282905 284912 287923 285934 284940 283944
      283950 282953 279956 274960 268964 261968 258971 257975
      257984 258995 260000 263004 269012 278016 281018 287018
      290017 293014 298013 302015 307015 310014 314012 319012
      326009 335004 339003 344000 351996 355996 358994 367990
      372992 374997 376000 378005 380012 379019 376029 374033
      374041 372046 368050 365055 361058 356066 354071 356076
      361076 365079 370081 372083 373089 375093 379100 381108
      380114 377116 374120 372124 367150 366155 362160 357169
      350177 351181 353184 369193 383204 391209 393211 394214
      399216 405216 408216 411217 412219 416210 417206 414203
      413199 415196 416191 419186 422183 426179 428175 431169
      431161 424156 424149 424143 423137 424133 426132 430122
      433119 436122 439126 438133 435135 432139 432142 433145
      432149 434158 437163 440166 443167 446167 447170 443179
 0.01 443179 441183 445188 447189 449188 453186 457182 461176
      466167 470164 474165 476168 477174 481180 484186 479189
      471193 466196 462198 456201 452205 449208 444209 439211
      435213 431218 429225 427232 426239 423241 421240 419237
      412230 407230 403234 403239 403242 407247 418253 424254
      428252 433261 443265 450267 455266 464264 474263 477265
      481265 483263 487261 490264 493269 495275 498281 502286
      511284 515280 517275 519265 520255 520248 519241 516234
      515227 512197 513193 515195 520198 525201 530201 532197
      532189 531185 534185 538183 543176 545169
 0.01 504652 504645 503639 499631 496628 493629 490627 486629
      483628 478628 474630 471633 467635 463638 460639 457642
      448655 448663 450665 450668 449672 450675 448680 445688
      441704 431718 427723 423730 427762 430765 433766 441769
      448768 455766 462760 465760 468757 475752 478750 481749
      487742 489734 494715 496694 498686 500677 503664 504652
 0.01 508214 508209 508206 507201 506199 503197 499197 496197
      498200 500203 502204 504207 505210 506213 507216 508214
 0.01 435085 433083 430080 427080 423081 421084 420086 420090
      421094 424093 424089 428091 429092 431094 433092 433087
      435085
 0.01 365135 366126 361121 355118 351115 347108 345101 341089
      336084 330083 328086 328091 329098 330105 332112 337126
      343136 349140 355142 361141 365135 365135
 0.01 293822 292816 290813 284808 280805 279801 277796 271796
      267802 259801 255802 253806 255810 258813 264818 272821
      280824 289825 293822
 0.25 510260 511251 509246 504235 493217 491211 487208 482206
      478207 474208 470211 467215 461215 452216 444220 439232
      437236 435241 436243 445242 451243 456243 466242 476244
      480243 483243 485240 487234 491233 495237 497242 502253
      506258 509261 510260
 0.25 482634 480634 476635 473636 472638 470640 470645 471650
      472655 473655 475651 476649 477646 479643 480640 480637
      482634
 0.25 480087 477083 471082 462084 458086 454090 452095 449099
      446105 446114 446122 447128 449133 453136 457133 460128
      460121 462118 469110 473100 476094 479089 480087
 0.25 444022 442018 441016 438014 435013 432013 429013 427015
      427017 427020 428023 432025 435025 439024 442024 444022
 0.25 437959 438948 437937 431919 428902 425894 422886 419880
      415874 409869 403865 390861 377857 371854 369851 367848
      364840 360834 350824 344821 338820 329820 325822 322824
      319832 318841 316857 314865 312871 305883 302890 299899
      298907 299914 301922 302933 301941 299950 296958 292964
      284973 279979 277985 278992 280000 282002 287002 293997
      297991 299989 302989 310990 315989 322987 328984 334979
      339974 344969 349965 355963 363965 374974 379979 384985
      389997 392004 394008 395014 395017 398020 404017 411014
      414011 416008 414999 415995 417992 426982 433970 437959
 0.25 413118 415112 414106 411098 408096 405097 400102 390114
      388117 386124 389132 385140 380145 378148 376154 375166
      376170 379174 382174 384172 396163 401156 403147 403142
      405138 409131 407128 408125 413118 413118
 0.50 484214 482213 480213 479212 478213 477214 477215 478216
      480217 482217 482216 483215 484214
 0.50 425942 424935 423927 418916 415904 413898 410892 407889
      402885 396883 391883 386885 383888 381893 376892 371882
      364872 360868 357862 353852 351847 348843 344839 338838
      334841 331844 329849 327855 326862 324867 319878 311899
      309905 309912 308929 308942 307950 306956 302967 304973
      307978 312980 318980 328975 335969 342959 348949 351946
      355944 366943 371945 375950 379959 382965 385970 391978
      395982 399983 402983 407980 410977 416966 419961 422955
      425942
 1.00 407949 409943 409938 408926 405917 403914 400913 396915
      394918 393927 390936 389945 391953 395961 396963 400965
      405959 407950 407949
 1.00 348919 348912 346908 344904 343899 344893 345888 346877
      344873 342869 339867 337868 334871 328878 325885 322896
      319905 316914 314924 315937 317947 317960 319964 323965
      326963 329960 332952 339933 348919
 1.50 335910 336904 336897 335891 333888 330891 328896 325904
      322909 321913 320918 318922 320926 318930 320935 323937
      327936 328932 332923 335913 335910
 1.50 318926 318924 317924 317926 317927 318926

$$





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