Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 140953
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
552 AM EDT TUE APR 14 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 14/1200 UTC THRU APR 17/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


1000 UTC UPDATE

ONLY SOME MINOR CHANGES MADE TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF BASED ON
LATEST RADAR TRENDS.

DAY 1

UPPER TN VALLEY---CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC

THE WELL DEFINED MCV THAT HAS MOVED OUT OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PRESS NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE LOWER TN
VALLEY---TO THE SOUTH OF THE OH VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS TUESDAY---ALONG THE SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED
SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SITUATED ACROSS THESE AREAS.  THIS
FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE UVVS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
BOUNDARY---IN THE AXIS OF MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES---2 TO 3
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN THAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
AHEAD OF THIS CIRCULATION.  THIS SHOULD SUPPORT THE CONTINUATION
OF A BROAD WELL DEFINED REGION OF MODERATE TO HEAVY INTENSIFY
RAINFALL SPREADING TUESDAY ACROSS THE UPPER TN VALLEY---CENTRAL TO
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE MID ATLANTIC.    HEAVIEST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS MCV WILL BE DURING THE FIRST HALF OF
THE DAY 1 PERIOD---WITH MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WEAKENING OF THE
CIRCULATION BEYOND LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY EVENING.
DAY 1 QPF LEANED TOWARD THE FARTHER SOUTHWARD QPF SOLUTIONS TO THE
EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING---CLOSER TO THE
GREATER INSTABILITY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT SETTLING
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC.  RUNOFF ISSUES WILL CONTINUE
AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE---ESPECIALLY FROM THE UPPER TN VALLEY INTO
THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WHERE FFG VALUES ARE LOWER
AND INCREASED INSTABILITY LATER TUESDAY MAY ENHANCE PRECIP RATES
ACROSS THESE REGIONS.

CENTRAL GULF COAST INTO THE SOUTHEAST

ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD FROM NORTHERN
MEXICO/SOUTH TX REGION EXPECTED TO RE-STRENGTHEN THE SOUTH
WESTERLY LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW OFF THE WESTERN GULF--RAISING PW
VALUES BACK TO MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE LEVELS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF
COASTAL REGION.  WITH UVVS EXPECTED TO RE-ENHANCE AHEAD OF THESE
HEIGHT FALLS IN THE ABOVE AVERAGE PW AREA---ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS
POSSIBLE FROM SOUTHERN TO SOUTHEASTERN LA---NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF COASTAL REGION AND SOUTHEAST.  THE THE HI RES
GUIDANCE IS ESPECIALLY EMPHATIC ABOUT THE HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL
ACROSS THESE REGIONS---WITH ISOLATED ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNT OF
2-4"+ POSSIBLE WHICH WILL POSE ADDITIONAL RUNOFF ISSUES OVER AREAS
THAT HAVE RECEIVED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS RECENTLY.

CENTRAL TO EASTERN OK---WESTERN AR---EASTERN KS INTO WESTERN TO
CENTRAL MO

THE PRIMARY MID LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS IS
EXPECTED TO PROGRESS EAST NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE LOWER AR AND
LOWER MS VALLEY DAY 1.  SHOWERS WILL PERSIST AHEAD OF THIS
CIRCULATION---ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS NOT GREAT WITH DETAILS.
MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR MODERATE PRECIP TOTALS FROM CENTRAL TO
EASTERN OK---WESTERN AR---NORTHEAST INTO EASTERN KS AND WESTERN TO
CENTRAL MO---WITH POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS.

PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTHERN HIGH
PLAINS

THE STRONG MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST EARLY TUESDAY MORNING WILL PROGRESS STEADILY EASTWARD
THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN---NORTHERN TO CENTRAL ROCKIES--CLOSING OFF
BY THE END OF THE DAY 1 TIME PERIOD ACROSS THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL
ROCKIES REGION.  THERE IS OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND DISTRIBUTIONS ALONG AND IN THE VICINITY
OF THE TRACK OF THIS UPPER CENTER. A BROAD REGION OF MODERATE
PRECIP TOTALS POSSIBLE IN THE FAVORED TERRAIN REGION OF THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST EARLY DAY 1---SPREADING EASTWARD INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES--NORTHERN GREAT BASIN LATER TUESDAY AND INTO THE
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.  LOWERING HEIGHTS
WITH THIS AMPLIFYING UPPER TROF WILL SUPPORT LATE SEASON HEAVY
SNOWS THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. SEE THE QPFHSD FOR FURTHER
WINTER WEATHER DETAILS.


DAYS 2/3...

...ROCKIES/GREAT PLAINS...

A POWERFUL CLOSED LOW BARRELING THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT
BASIN/ROCKIES AND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL BE A KEY PLAYER IN
THE PATTERN ACROSS THESE REGIONS. THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS 500-MB
HEIGHT ANOMALIES IN THE 1 TO 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL
FOR MID-APRIL. LARGE UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN IN HOW THIS SYSTEM WILL
ACTUALLY EVOLVE WITH SOME OF THE MODELS SUPPORTING THE CLOSED LOW
SPLITTING WHILE CROSSING THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON WEDNESDAY EVENING.
THE 00Z NAM/GFS CONTINUE TO FAVOR SUCH A SPLIT WHILE THE 21Z
SREF/12Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEANS FAVOR ONE PRIMARY UPPER LOW
RETROGRADING BACK TOWARD THE FOUR CORNERS. MULTI-MODEL TRENDS
SUGGEST THE LATTER SOLUTION IS MORE FAVORED AT THIS TIME WHICH WAS
THE PATH TAKEN ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND GREAT PLAINS.

IT IS A TRICKY FORECAST GIVEN THE PATH THIS UPPER LOW TAKES WILL
ULTIMATELY DICTATE THE OVERALL COVERAGE OF THE PRECIPITATION. OF
COURSE THE 00Z NAM/GFS TENDED TO SPREAD HIGHER AMOUNTS TOWARD THE
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS GIVEN THEIR MID-LEVEL SPLIT. SUCH FORECASTS
WERE AVOIDED IN FAVOR OF FOCUSING THE BETTER COVERAGE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES WHERE THE OTHER CAMP TENDED TO CONGREGATE.
LOW-LEVEL WINDS DURING THE PERIOD SUGGEST QUITE THE UPSLOPE FLOW
EVENT AS 850-MB WINDS REACH THE 25 TO 30 KNOT RANGE AT TIMES.
INITIALLY THE FLOW SHOULD BE MORE EASTERLY IN NATURE BEFORE
BACKING TOWARD NORTHEASTERLY AS COLD ADVECTION ENSUES. WHILE
MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING AS PWATS ONLY ARE IN THE 0.25 T0 0.50
INCH RANGE...DYNAMICS WILL MAKE UP FOR IT AS STRONG VERTICAL
MOTIONS SPREAD OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. ADDITIONALLY...FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW A PRONOUNCED AREA OF STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WHICH MAY SUPPORT SOME CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS. GIVEN THE FACT
TEMPERATURES ARE SO COLD UNDERNEATH THE DEEP UPPER LOW...MUCH OF
THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. PLEASE VIEW THE QPFHSD FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON
THE WINTER THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM.

BY DAY 3...CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BREAK OUT ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. HEIGHT FALLS COMING OUT OF THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION WILL HELP FORM A PRONOUNCED DRY LINE EXTENDING
ALONG MUCH OF THE HIGH PLAINS. MODELS AGREE ON BREAKING OUT
CONVECTION GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY IN PLACE ALONG WITH
FAVORABLE LEFT EXIT REGION FORCING FROM A SUBTROPICAL JET CROSSING
THE HIGH PLAINS.

OVERALL...LEANED ON THE 00Z ECMWF/UKMET FOR THE DAY 2 PERIOD GIVEN
THEY BOTH SUPPORTED THE MORE WESTWARD ENSEMBLE SOLUTION. BY DAY
3...GREW CONCERNED ABOUT THE 00Z UKMET QPF OUTPUT IN THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES AS IT LOOKED NORTHWARD DISPLACED AND TOO ROBUST IN NATURE.
DURING THIS PERIOD...FOLLOWED MORE ON A COMBINATION OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/IN-HOUSE PSEUDO-ENSEMBLE BIAS-CORRECTED MODEL ALONG WITH THE
12Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN.


...GULF COAST REGION/LOWER TO MIDDLE MS VALLEY/TN AND OH
VALLEYS/EAST COAST...

A VERY ACTIVE PERIOD TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE GULF COAST EXTENDING
NORTHWARD INTO THE LOWER MS AND TN VALLEYS...AND ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. PERSISTENT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CARRY A
SERIES OF IMPULSES FROM THE WESTERN U.S. TOWARD THE MS VALLEY.
THESE MESOSCALE WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO BE FOCI FOR MULTIPLE
COMPLEXES OF CONVECTION WITH A MULTITUDE OF SOLUTIONS BEING
PORTRAYED BY THE GUIDANCE. THE CONFIDENCE IS RATHER LOW IN
PINPOINTING THE RESULTANT QPF GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE
POSITION/STRENGTH OF THESE WAVES. PERSISTENT
SOUTH-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL ENSURE THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE
QUITE MOIST ALONG THE WEST-TO-EAST BAROCLINIC ZONE. PWATS SHOULD
RANGE BETWEEN 1.25 AND 1.75 INCHES THROUGHOUT THE MULTI-DAY PERIOD
WITH MULTIPLE GULF SURGES NOTED.

AS USUAL...BESIDES THE USUAL MODEL SPREAD IN CONVECTIVE
REGIMES...THERE ARE CONCERNS THAT CONVECTION ALONG THE GULF COAST
MAY ROB LOCATIONS FARTHER NORTH FROM SEEING THE HEAVIER RAINFALL
BEING FORECAST. REGARDLESS...A HEAVY RAINFALL SIGNATURE IS
COMMONPLACE SPANNING THE ENTIRE SHORT RANGE PERIOD WHICH WARRANTED
MULTIPLE SLIGHT RISK AREAS ON THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FORECAST. ON
DAY 2...THERE WAS STRONG ENOUGH MODEL AGREEMENT TO PLACE A RISK
AREA ACROSS CENTRAL AL EASTWARD ACROSS GA/SC AND INTO THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION EVENTUALLY LIFTS NORTHWARD
ALONG THE SURFACE LOW FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COASTAL
CAROLINAS. SLOW-MOVING CONVECTION COMBINED WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
HIGH RAINFALL RATES ALLOWED FOR THE INCLUSION OF A SLIGHT RISK
AREA ON DAY 3 ACROSS THE NC/SC COASTS. ELSEWHERE...INTRODUCED
ANOTHER AREA ACROSS SOUTHERN LA GIVEN A MODEST SIGNAL IN THE
GUIDANCE. GIVEN MULTIPLE DAYS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AHEAD OF DAY
3...FEEL FFG VALUES MAY REDUCE ENOUGH TO ALLOW AREAS TO LOCALLY
SURPASS THESE VALUES.

FOR DAY 2...PER THE SUGGESTIONS FROM WPC MODEL
DIAGNOSTICS...FAVORED A COMBINATION OF THE 00Z NAM/GFS. THE 00Z
ECMWF FORTUNATELY DID SHOW SOME IMPROVEMENT RELATIVE TO THE 12Z
CYCLE BY BEING MORE SUPPRESSED WITH THE INITIAL WAVE MOVING TOWARD
THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY. BY DAY 3...LEANED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE 00Z
GFS/12Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN AS THEY WERE CONSISTENT WITH THE
SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT ALONG WITH INTERNAL CONSISTENCY WITH THE
WPC MEDIUM RANGE DESK.


ORAVEC/RUBIN-OSTER

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 15/12Z
 0.01 469620 470625 469631 468637 465655 464663 463671 461677
      457682 440701 430712 425717 421724 416730 413735 409742
      407750 404755 402762 399775 393808 390822 387840 384857
      381875 378888 377896 383897 388901 390902 392905 396910
      400917 402924 407930 416942 419947 421955 423959 423963
      421966 417966 412968 405968 398969 391968 358003 351007
      347005 343005 340004 338001 335993 334986 333984 333979
      334962 335959 333956 329951 323946 321944 316944 310946
      304949 299953 294958 288969 284976 281983 277988 271991
      263988 257986 253980 252972 251964 255948 256941 257933
      276881 283870 286864 290861 293855 296846 296838 292832
      268821 262817 260813 258811 259809 262806 279804 295801
      289790 290781 290778 293775 298771 306769 310767 312764
      316759 323751 328746 331741 339733 346721 350715 354709
      364699 368693 373689 378684 383681 385687 388696 388701
      390703 395700 404688 410677 416664 424650 435632
 0.01 531197 532184 531177 529167 528163 526160 522155 519150
      515145 512139 505135 503129 501120 500112 499108 496106
      493107 490110 489113 489119 491127 488129 485129 479126
      475125 473127 468127 467125 467122 481101 491094 496090
      500085 502077 500071 498067 495065 492063 488062 479061
      474058 466057 457056 443054 438055 434059 431060 427059
      425058 424061 424065 426068 425072 423075 421083 423090
      426098 425102 423103 420105 418109 415110 413108 411101
      410095 411089 416078 414063 408064 401067 394065 391066
      389068 387070 387073 390080 395085 400086 405091 406095
      404100 403104 400106 394109 385114 380117 379119 379123
      380126 384128 390132 395132 401130 408127 413126 419126
      420130 419133 420135 422134 426132 437122 439121 440125
      436131 430142 421145 416144 413143 411145 406149 406153
      407156 408161 406164 406170 406175 413187 415190 417192
      421191 425192 431193 435194 436196 440202 445206 449202
      453197 458190 462186 465179 471177 478179 484184 487190
      487195 486199 481203 475207 465210 454212 442214 429218
      419235 417238 418242 419245 422247 430249 437249 459246
      466248 474250 478252 481255 485261 489266 494272 498277
      502279 505279 504270 502263 498256 494249 492243 488238
      482235 479229 480225 483224 489224 501222 504216 505205
      507199 511199 520203 523205 527204 531197
 0.01 482703 481693 478691 472688 469689 458697 454698 455700
      453703 454708 456712 457719 465725 469731 470733 471738
      473743 477747 480744 482736 483728 482724 483718 482711
      481706 482703
 0.01 315800 314799 312799 310799 308799 307800 305800 303800
      302802 303803 305802 307802 309802 311802 312802 314801
      315800
 0.25 507148 506146 505143 503143 502142 500143 498144 497146
      498147 500148 501149 503149 504149 506149 507148
 0.25 496146 493142 490138 487135 484133 479131 475131 474136
      477139 482139 485142 488146 491148 495147 496146
 0.25 474217 474214 473214 472214 470214 468215 466216 466217
      464219 466221 467221 469220 471219 472218 473218 474217
 0.25 470158 469152 466148 461147 456147 452148 449151 446155
      445159 447163 449165 452165 456162 459160 463160 466159
      470158
 0.25 456221 456218 454218 450219 449219 445219 442219 440219
      438221 436223 435226 439227 440227 444226 446226 450224
      451223 453222 456221
 0.25 470080 470076 468075 462073 457071 452071 447069 443068
      440069 439075 442081 446085 451085 458085 463082 468081
      470080
 0.25 456110 455107 452105 450099 443099 436099 433100 432103
      428108 425110 423113 417114 411112 409104 407106 406110
      403112 400112 396115 403118 408120 415120 421117 427118
      433114 440113 445117 447119 451119 456110
 0.25 432094 431093 431092 430090 429089 428088 426089 428091
      428092 429094 431095 432094
 0.25 408714 405712 403713 396718 389721 385718 378718 373723
      369730 363737 352748 348753 346759 340773 337781 335790
      337808 335817 333824 329829 324834 319839 312843 305848
      301854 294866 287878 284885 280892 274908 268921 265927
      263936 267949 268959 269964 270968 274969 278968 281964
      289951 294945 299940 305935 310930 317918 322913 325907
      328904 331903 336902 338899 341899 344897 346889 350874
      352870 355868 362865 368867 372869 375865 378857 381848
      384834 388816 390796 392776 394759 396751 400742 404727
      408714
 0.25 370943 371936 369932 362925 358919 353917 351918 350921
      348932 349941 352943 351947 351954 352958 355961 357965
      362965 364961 365954 368950 370945 370943
 0.25 314817 312815 306814 302813 299812 295811 290810 286810
      285814 286819 290820 296820 301820 307820 310820 314817
      314817
 0.50 415118 413115 412115 410114 408114 406116 408118 410118
      411119 413118 415118
 0.50 393743 394738 392734 388732 384732 381734 376739 368746
      363751 359756 347778 346786 347794 349802 353807 355808
      354811 352817 348822 346829 345837 347842 357850 363851
      366856 369863 373863 375861 377854 379848 382834 385819
      387804 389787 389780 388769 391755 393743
 0.50 341867 341862 340858 336856 328855 320857 313856 310851
      307850 305852 303857 297867 291879 280901 278907 275913
      273919 273927 273931 274934 276940 275946 275956 276958
      279958 283954 290945 298936 306928 310921 312916 316903
      319896 322892 325887 331884 335880 339878 341867
 1.00 386790 384780 382775 377774 373777 370777 368772 367766
      366764 364766 360768 356768 354771 353776 353788 354797
      360804 366824 368829 369835 370849 370856 373858 375855
      376850 381830 383820 384809 385799 386790
 1.00 316879 312874 310871 306871 301875 297880 289893 283906
      281914 282919 285920 287924 287928 285937 284940 286943
      292938 296933 301926 308914 312899 314890 314885 316879
 1.50 383802 383795 382791 377792 375794 371804 370808 371814
      373819 374826 373837 372842 373846 375846 377839 377835
      379830 381819 382809 383802
 1.50 374851 374849 372849 372851 372853 372854 373853 374852
      374851
 1.50 311892 307886 302886 296891 291897 288903 286907 288912
      293916 295919 295924 299921 303916 306907 308901 311894
      311892
 2.00 308897 307892 302893 298894 295896 292899 290904 291908
      296910 300910 303907 305903 307899 308897

24HR QP VT 16/12Z
 0.01 526252 524248 519245 514238 513233 510230 505227 504223
      500212 495207 493207 492210 491212 488212 482209 480213
      482217 489224 492233 494241 490238 487236 481239 478243
      477248 479257 480262 479267 477272 477276 478282 480286
      484294 490302 494305 497308 502310 505311
 0.01 540206 541196 539190 533181 529178 527172 524168 522167
      520165 518159 516161 515174 512173 511178 513182 515182
      518188 518195 520202 521208 523213 526218 531221 534221
      537218
 0.01 475109 475106 472105 469100 469087 470077 474064 477041
      475035 474027 470020 467017 463016 459015 457017 454017
      444017 438016 432009 429001 415991 409982 407977 403974
      399972 394972 385976 377981 369985 361989 356991 351991
      349993 347993 341992 331992 326990 320989 313985 306981
      304978 303974 299970 300964 303956 309946 317941 324935
      333931 341932 348939 355947 360948 364949 384949 389950
      392952 401956 407959 412959 414956 418948 418942 419939
      421938 423938 423933 424926 424920 421917 415912 406906
      403903 398900 395897 400895 402885 404874 410857 410852
      408846 405842 402839 399837 394837 385838 376834 376832
      378830 381828 387819 388813 391809 397801 399798 397793
      391793 387792 380787 373780 370776 369769 376725 377717
      378705 378696 377689 375685 369676 367675 364676 360678
      349681 343683 341684 341687 334704 331714 328719 323719
      317724 314727 313732 311737 308741 305750 303758 299764
      296771 293780 285786 282787 276786 259782 258787 258792
      260796 257800 251801 248803 247809 250812 256817 263821
      270825 279829 283831 284834 281835 277841 275844 275850
      274859 273866 271870 265878 261886 257895 255905 253914
      253922 255927 253932 249935 241939 238946 234954 233958
      235963 235970 237974 233983 232991 231999 233005 236009
      244015 250020 258026 265029 270032 274032 279034 284035
      289039 292043 305054 306078 311082 321083 325082 329081
      333079 336076 338072 339064 340057 341051 342045 341041
      339036 335032 331031 327033 320035 315034 315031 317031
      327028 337026 343023 351020 354018 358018 362017 365019
      368022 371027 368037 365041 360045 358047 357054 357060
      358065
 0.01 358065 360070 364072 367073 370075 372080 375084 379085
      381083 383085 383089 382092 378094 377101 378107 377114
      374124 374131 379130 383128 389127 393124 396124 398127
      402127 407126 408124 411123 415122 420119 424119 428122
      430121 437114 442111 444113 445116 446121 449122 451121
      460124 463126 465122 464119 465117 469118 471111 475109
 0.25 536204 537202 537199 537198 535199 534201 534203 535205
      536205 536204
 0.25 524258 521253 516248 510238 500231 498232 497237 499242
      500246 499251 496249 491243 487241 485242 484246 484253
      485269 485277 487283 490289 494293 501297 506298 510297
 0.25 458057 459051 457048 453044 450039 445034 441034 436039
      432039 429037 425034 423027 422023 423020 423013 418009
      404005 401007 400010 401016 403025 403030 401040 401047
      394048 390049 390051 393056 395062 402065 407069 414070
      417069 419073 420080 420085 421089 429097 433098 436096
      435088 435083 436079 439075 446078 451082 454081 455078
      455071 456062 458057
 0.25 414108 415101 414097 416092 414088 411086 407086 405093
      405100 404107 402111 405114 409115 412113 414108
 0.25 402074 402072 401070 400069 400067 398068 397069 398071
      397071 397073 397074 399075 401075 402074
 0.25 395922 377891 376879 374869 371861 369851 367831 367820
      366808 363800 360789 358780 355770 353759 351752 351746
      352742 355738 359732 361722 360716 357713 353715 351724
      350729 346730 342729 337730 328734 322740 314752 309767
      305776 300783 294788 287793 281798 276803 271807 270812
      273816 280820 288822 296824 300826 301831 299838 295844
      290851 285856 280864 276872 272880 270888 267894 265903
      265913 267923 266932 262937 255942 252945 251949 250956
      253962 260966 263968 266967 278955 288942 294937 301934
      314928 322923 328917 335913 344910 353912 360914 373921
      385923 392924 395922
 0.25 246998 247996 246994 246993 244992 242991 241992 240992
      239993 238994 238995 238996 239997 240998 242999 244999
      246998 246998
 0.50 524262 521257 518254 511247 505241 503241 503244 503249
      501256 498255 492248 490247 488252 488264 489275 493285
      499291 504294 508293 513291
 0.50 448075 446074 446075 448076 448075
 0.50 436074 437071 436069 435068 431063 428056 427051 423049
      420049 417048 415046 411045 411049 413052 416055 420060
      423066 428069 431073 434075 436074
 0.50 428089 426089 428089 428089
 0.50 371905 370896 367889 365883 361876 360870 361863 362847
      363840 361831 362823 361816 357815 354815 350813 347807
      349800 351793 351786 346772 345765 346758 347745 346740
      344738 338737 332741 328744 324748 321753 316766 312778
      308784 304787 295794 294798 296802 298805 293809 287809
      283809 281812 283815 287818 292820 305822 310826 310831
      309833 303844 300849 295853 286860 282865 279871 275884
      272896 271902 274906 276908 280909 285905 288900 294897
      298895 303896 306902 309907 313913 316915 319914 326904
      331902 334900 338901 344904 349905 371905
 1.00 522264 521260 518258 512254 507250 506261 503262 499261
      496260 494262 494266 494271 496279 500285 504288 508288
      514285 518278
 1.00 356841 357836 356831 351828 344828 339825 336818 337810
      340804 341799 338793 336791 336786 337773 338764 337757
      333757 330761 328769 325775 318784 310794 309797 309801
      313806 317812 318819 319828 320836 326848 328855 328861
      327871 329879 331885 335886 336884 339878 341871 344864
      348860 351855 352850 356841
 1.00 292876 293870 290868 286870 285873 282877 281881 280887
      279892 280897 282898 285893 287890 289887 291883 292877
      292876
 1.50 519274 521269 520264 516261 510260 511268 509270 506270
      502267 500268 498271 500278 504283 508283 509281 513277
      517276 519274
 1.50 345842 346840 346838 344837 342837 341837 339838 338839
      338841 338843 338845 340847 341846 343845 345843 345842
 1.50 339858 339856 339854 339852 339849 338849 337850 336850
      336852 335854 335855 334856 334859 333860 333861 333863
      333865 333867 335868 337867 338865 338863 338860 339860
      339858
 1.50 335806 336802 332801 329801 327803 326806 325810 324812
      324816 326818 329820 330817 331813 332811 334809 335806
 1.50 330785 329783 328783 327783 326784 325784 324786 324788
      324790 324791 326792 328791 328790 329787 330785
 1.50 286883 286881 285881 284883 285884 286883


24HR QP VT 17/12Z
 0.01 537213 538205 538199 538191 537186 534182 531178 527169
      524168 521169 516169 515171 516175 514177 512181 513187
      515191 516196 516203 519212 526219 531220 535218 537213
 0.01 524260 522253 518246 515240 513233 506229 504223 503220
      499218 493217 492223 493227 494234 497242 497247 495246
      491240 486238 484240 482244 484250 486258 488267 490275
      493280 498285 501288 503291 505296 508300
 0.01 532058 532050 531042 528029 525018 519007 518004 516009
      514017 514022 516038 519051 521065 522068 524070 527071
      532058 532058
 0.01 522913 522905 521898 519894 519889 519873 515864 512861
      508861 504862 503867 502873 502881 499891 494911 490922
      487927 487932 494947 494954 496958 499962 502963 505960
      507956 511947 517926 522913
 0.01 456737 455730 454723 453719 451717 444713 439711 434712
      430714 426722 422731 418737 407744 400746 392745 386742
      381736 372724 363712 358706 355703 351702 343701 333703
      325703 322709 320715 315721 306730 301735 299741 293756
      290765 288771 277781 271786 265792 261798 253801 250802
      249806 247812 257822 280832 287837 292842 290851 287858
      285869 281875 276881 274888 272896 268903 264916 260930
      253943 250951 248958 248964 249967 248972 246974 242982
      240986 237989 240004 252008 264005 268003 272004 280007
      286010 291014 297020 299023 302024 309026 313026 317026
      323032 332034 340033 343032 345033 347036 346039 342043
      340046 339051 341060 357084 359087 360093 360096 363099
      371099 373097 378097 381097 384094 390089 389086 391083
      395082 398080 401081 411075 413075 416074 413068 417066
      418062 420058 420065 420069 422072 424067 428064 428059
      427055 427050 428044 431042 435040 439043 443043 446042
      444034 443031 440028 435022 431016 428009 429005 429998
      429989 426979 428975 428970 428961 421961 418959 415958
      415955 418948 419944 419940 417934 416932 406933 397931
      389928 386920 384916 384911 383908 382903 381891 380887
      384884 393883 400882 408880 411880 413878 419873 421871
      423867 426860 428855 431855 439849 442847 444843 447834
      448831 448825 446817 447808 450799 450789 446770 451756
      456737
 0.01 415118 415113 412110 411103 412096 411091 409088 406091
      405098 405105 403109 401113 403116 408118 411120 415118
      415118
 0.01 398113 394111 391113 384108 375107 371111 367112 360114
      356116 358118 366122 374119 379121 383122 386121 389118
      396115 398113
 0.01 379128 379126 377125 375127 374130 375130 376130 377130
      378128 379128
 0.25 521269 520265 518261 514258 510255 508251 507253 508259
      509263 510268 511273 513279 511282 514282 516280
 0.25 511286 508279 505271 504266 502263 498261 496257 492251
      490253 492258 494261 498267 502275 504282 508288 511286
 0.25 439755 439750 439745 437742 435741 432742 431745 430747
      430752 429755 429759 431763 432764 435763 437760 438758
      439755
 0.25 413036 413005 413998 411990 407978 403968 400960 396955
      393952 389949 384947 377946 373943 366935 364930 363924
      365919 366912 364907 361904 358900 356895 352886 350870
      349857 350851 352846 356841 359835 363824 368815 370811
      374808 385809 389806 390800 385792 379780 373769 371763
      371756 371750 370743 367737 364732 358727 349723 343722
      338725 328731 308743 290778 284786 279794 275799 273806
      274814 277818 294826 300832 304836 305842 305848 303854
      298863 292874 286882 280890 276901 270921 268932 267939
      268947 269963 270974 270978 272984 279993 285998 292004
      299011 303015 309017 324016 335021 343021 350024 353027
      355031 356037 356043 355051 354055 356058 358063 360068
      366070 369074 371080 376084 379083 380079 384069 392065
      402061 407061 409060 410056 409051 410043 413036
 0.25 408845 408839 405837 396837 390835 384834 377836 375839
      374844 377853 382857 390858 397858 403855 407847 408845
 0.50 404016 405009 404003 400994 397982 395977 394972 391963
      389959 386956 384956 381960 377961 371961 364958 358958
      355960 350969 346972 341973 334977 328981 325984 323988
      320988 319987 319984 324963 325958 328952 334946 340931
      344921 346910 344903 342899 340895 339890 337876 335865
      333854 330846 326836 320830 314825 308819 304816 300814
      291811 286811 282813 283817 287819 294822 301825 308831
      309836 309843 309850 309856 308862 306866 302873 296879
      290883 285890 281898 277907 272929 271940 272949 279965
      283986 286990 290993 297998 300000 302004 306009 325012
      335014 344015 355015 359016 363019 364024 364029 365036
      364043 360050 358053 357057 362059 364062 372068 374071
      377071 377067 375063 376060 384058 392056 396055 399053
      401048 401044 402037 402028 404016
 0.50 366757 366748 364739 361735 356733 350732 342733 337734
      332736 321742 312749 309753 305758 301768 296780 290789
      288795 289800 293804 298807 321800 333804 344807 349808
      356806 360803 364798 366793 367783 366771 366757
 0.50 346822 346820 346818 345817 344816 343816 341816 340817
      339818 339819 338821 339823 340824 342825 343825 345823
      346822
 1.00 381053 382049 381047 380044 378040 376038 374039 373042
      371045 369048 372050 374051 377053 379053 381053
 1.00 359758 359753 357750 351751 339746 335746 331747 325750
      317759 312764 308769 305775 304782 304787 306792 311794
      318794 324791 334784 341781 346778 351773 356769 359758
 1.00 328915 329911 329907 328898 326885 326877 325868 323864
      321866 314877 309884 304888 299891 294892 289895 285906
      283918 282924 281931 280938 281943 288953 289959 290966
      289974 292980 296982 301979 308971 312960 315948 318937
      323924 328916 328915
 1.50 344766 341759 336754 332753 327755 324760 320767 317773
      313779 312783 314785 317786 322785 329782 334778 339773
      343766 344766
 1.50 321909 321900 319894 316892 312893 307895 302899 297901
      293905 291910 291919 292924 295931 299935 303939 303945
      302952 305953 307950 311939 314926 316919 319913 321909
 2.00 336769 336767 336765 335763 334761 333761 332760 330761
      328762 328764 327766 326768 326771 326773 325775 326776
      328777 330776 332775 333774 335771 336769
 2.00 314909 314907 314905 314903 313901 311901 309902 309903
      309905 308907 308908 307909 307911 306913 306914 306916
      307918 308918 310916 312914 312913 313911 313910 314909

$$




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